LaLiga 2019-20 · Data up to 19 Jul 2020
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Real Madrid | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 87 | 60 |
| Points expected by the market | 78.92 | 54.68 |
| Gap | +8.08 | +5.32 |
| Yield | +4.8% | +16.6% |
Both market films
Real MadridVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Real Madrid | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 21 | +2.53 | 1* | +0.74 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | +3.94 | 13 | −1.43 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 2* | +1.45 | 15 | +5.45 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 1* | +0.15 | 9 | +0.55 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
1 Sep 2019 Villarreal 2 – 2 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 26% | 24% | 1.02 | 1 | −0.02 |
| Real Madrid | 50% | 24% | 1.74 | 1 | −0.74 |
16 Jul 2020 Real Madrid 2 – 1 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 72% | 17% | 2.34 | 3 | +0.66 |
| Villarreal | 11% | 17% | 0.49 | 0 | −0.49 |