LaLiga 2020-21 · Data up to 23 May 2021
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Real Madrid | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 84 | 58 |
| Points expected by the market | 76.77 | 62.81 |
| Gap | +7.23 | −4.81 |
| Yield | +12.0% | −26.6% |
Both market films
Real MadridVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Real Madrid | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | −4.42 | 3* | −1.75 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | +5.54 | 21 | −1.15 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | +4.10 | 10 | +0.10 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 1* | +2.02 | 4* | −2.00 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
21 Nov 2020 Villarreal 1 – 1 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 37% | 27% | 1.37 | 1 | −0.37 |
| Real Madrid | 36% | 27% | 1.36 | 1 | −0.36 |
22 May 2021 Real Madrid 2 – 1 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 61% | 21% | 2.05 | 3 | +0.95 |
| Villarreal | 18% | 21% | 0.74 | 0 | −0.74 |