LaLiga 2021-22 · Data up to 22 May 2022

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Real Madrid Villarreal
Matches played3838
Points8659
Points expected by the market75.7662.99
Gap+10.24−3.99
Yield+13.9%−16.9%

Both market films

Real MadridVillarreal

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

Real MadridVillarreal
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 15 +1.92 +0.1%6 +2.41 +17.7%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 16 +6.86 +30.6%15 −5.08 −18.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 6 +2.36 +23.0%13 −2.86 −32.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more 1* −0.90 −100.0%4* +1.54 −10.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

25 Sep 2021 Real Madrid 0 – 0 Villarreal

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Real Madrid 64% 20% 2.14 1 −1.14
Villarreal 15% 20% 0.66 1 +0.34

12 Feb 2022 Villarreal 0 – 0 Real Madrid

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Villarreal 35% 29% 1.33 1 −0.33
Real Madrid 36% 29% 1.38 1 −0.38