LaLiga 2022-23 · Data up to 4 Jun 2023
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Real Madrid | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 78 | 64 |
| Points expected by the market | 77.52 | 60.71 |
| Gap | +0.48 | +3.29 |
| Yield | −2.4% | +20.0% |
Both market films
Real MadridVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Real Madrid | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 19 | +5.47 | 3* | −0.69 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | −8.64 | 17 | +2.19 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | +3.65 | 13 | 0.00 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | 5 | +1.80 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
7 Jan 2023 Villarreal 2 – 1 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 28% | 26% | 1.09 | 3 | +1.91 |
| Real Madrid | 46% | 26% | 1.65 | 0 | −1.65 |
8 Apr 2023 Real Madrid 2 – 3 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 64% | 20% | 2.13 | 0 | −2.13 |
| Villarreal | 16% | 20% | 0.67 | 3 | +2.33 |