LaLiga 2023-24 · Data up to 26 May 2024
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Real Madrid | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 95 | 53 |
| Points expected by the market | 79.59 | 51.51 |
| Gap | +15.41 | +1.49 |
| Yield | +20.3% | +8.3% |
Both market films
Real MadridVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Real Madrid | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 19 | +7.68 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | +4.23 | 13 | −1.37 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 4* | +3.50 | 17 | −2.20 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | 8 | +5.06 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
17 Dec 2023 Real Madrid 4 – 1 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 78% | 14% | 2.47 | 3 | +0.53 |
| Villarreal | 8% | 14% | 0.39 | 0 | −0.39 |
19 May 2024 Villarreal 4 – 4 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 32% | 24% | 1.20 | 1 | −0.20 |
| Real Madrid | 44% | 24% | 1.56 | 1 | −0.56 |