LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Real Oviedo | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 29 | 72 |
| Points expected by the market | 36.13 | 59.52 |
| Gap | −7.13 | +12.48 |
| Yield | −41.9% | +11.5% |
Both market films
Real OviedoVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Real Oviedo | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 5 | +4.03 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | 14 | +9.95 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | −1.19 | 12 | +1.62 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | −5.94 | 7 | −3.13 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
15 Aug 2025 Villarreal 2 – 0 Real Oviedo
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 68% | 20% | 2.24 | 3 | +0.76 |
| Real Oviedo | 12% | 20% | 0.56 | 0 | −0.56 |
23 Apr 2026 Real Oviedo 1 – 1 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo | 29% | 29% | 1.17 | 1 | −0.17 |
| Villarreal | 42% | 29% | 1.55 | 1 | −0.55 |