LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Real Sociedad | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 46 | 72 |
| Points expected by the market | 52.07 | 59.52 |
| Gap | −6.07 | +12.48 |
| Yield | −31.7% | +11.5% |
Both market films
Real SociedadVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Real Sociedad | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 5 | +4.03 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | +0.84 | 14 | +9.95 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | −4.28 | 12 | +1.62 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | −2.63 | 7 | −3.13 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
30 Nov 2025 Real Sociedad 2 – 3 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 33% | 29% | 1.29 | 0 | −1.29 |
| Villarreal | 38% | 29% | 1.42 | 3 | +1.58 |
20 Mar 2026 Villarreal 3 – 1 Real Sociedad
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 49% | 26% | 1.73 | 3 | +1.27 |
| Real Sociedad | 25% | 26% | 1.01 | 0 | −1.01 |