LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Sevilla Valencia
Matches played3838
Points4146
Points expected by the market49.0647.32
Gap−8.06−1.32
Yield−34.4%−14.0%

Both market films

SevillaValencia

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

SevillaValencia
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0——1* +0.76 +42.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 11 −1.66 −33.2%7 −0.27 −17.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 −0.59 −11.3%13 +3.81 +21.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more 12 −5.81 −64.5%17 −5.62 −42.9%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

11 Jan 2025 Sevilla 1 – 1 Valencia

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Sevilla 45% 30% 1.66 1 −0.66
Valencia 25% 30% 1.04 1 −0.04

11 Apr 2025 Valencia 1 – 0 Sevilla

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Valencia 40% 31% 1.53 3 +1.47
Sevilla 28% 31% 1.16 0 −1.16