LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Sevilla | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 41 | 70 |
| Points expected by the market | 49.06 | 59.88 |
| Gap | −8.06 | +10.12 |
| Yield | −34.4% | +11.5% |
Both market films
SevillaVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Sevilla | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 4* | +2.68 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | −1.66 | 15 | +3.71 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | −0.59 | 13 | +4.99 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | −5.81 | 6 | −1.26 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
23 Aug 2024 Sevilla 1 – 2 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 44% | 27% | 1.58 | 0 | −1.58 |
| Villarreal | 30% | 27% | 1.16 | 3 | +1.84 |
25 May 2025 Villarreal 4 – 2 Sevilla
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 54% | 23% | 1.86 | 3 | +1.14 |
| Sevilla | 23% | 23% | 0.91 | 0 | −0.91 |