LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Sevilla | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 43 | 72 |
| Points expected by the market | 46.95 | 59.52 |
| Gap | −3.95 | +12.48 |
| Yield | −3.9% | +11.5% |
Both market films
SevillaVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Sevilla | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 5 | +4.03 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | −6.51 | 14 | +9.95 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | +2.07 | 12 | +1.62 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | +0.49 | 7 | −3.13 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
23 Sep 2025 Sevilla 1 – 2 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 29% | 29% | 1.14 | 0 | −1.14 |
| Villarreal | 43% | 29% | 1.57 | 3 | +1.43 |
13 May 2026 Villarreal 2 – 3 Sevilla
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 45% | 28% | 1.63 | 0 | −1.63 |
| Sevilla | 27% | 28% | 1.09 | 3 | +1.91 |