LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Valencia | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 46 | 70 |
| Points expected by the market | 47.32 | 59.88 |
| Gap | −1.32 | +10.12 |
| Yield | −14.0% | +11.5% |
Both market films
ValenciaVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Valencia | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 1* | +0.76 | 4* | +2.68 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | −0.27 | 15 | +3.71 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | +3.81 | 13 | +4.99 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | −5.62 | 6 | −1.26 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
31 Aug 2024 Valencia 1 – 1 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 36% | 29% | 1.37 | 1 | −0.37 |
| Villarreal | 35% | 29% | 1.33 | 1 | −0.33 |
15 Feb 2025 Villarreal 1 – 1 Valencia
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 56% | 24% | 1.93 | 1 | −0.93 |
| Valencia | 19% | 24% | 0.82 | 1 | +0.18 |