LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Valencia | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 49 | 72 |
| Points expected by the market | 47.41 | 59.52 |
| Gap | +1.59 | +12.48 |
| Yield | +0.3% | +11.5% |
Both market films
ValenciaVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Valencia | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 5 | +4.03 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | −3.29 | 14 | +9.95 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | +8.64 | 12 | +1.62 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | −3.76 | 7 | −3.13 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
25 Oct 2025 Valencia 0 – 2 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 26% | 27% | 1.06 | 0 | −1.06 |
| Villarreal | 47% | 27% | 1.67 | 3 | +1.33 |
22 Feb 2026 Villarreal 2 – 1 Valencia
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 56% | 24% | 1.94 | 3 | +1.06 |
| Valencia | 19% | 24% | 0.82 | 0 | −0.82 |