← 2. Bundesliga 2019-20

Erzgebirge Aue

Season 2019-20 · 34 matches played

Last 5WLLWW

Points

47

Points expected by the market

38.39

Gap

+8.61

Yield

+12.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 0 — — — —
Even 2.20 – 3.49 21 37 27.19 +9.81 +41.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more 13 10 11.20 −1.20 −33.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Greuther Furth · Away28 Jul 2019 28 Jul 2019 W 2-0 3.32 1.14 3 +1.86 +1.86 +€2.32
M2 Wehen · Home4 Aug 2019 4 Aug 2019 W 3-2 2.47 1.42 3 +1.58 +3.43 +€1.47
M3 Bielefeld · Away17 Aug 2019 17 Aug 2019 L 1-3 5.10 0.80 0 −0.80 +2.64 −€1.00
M4 Stuttgart · Home23 Aug 2019 23 Aug 2019 D 0-0 3.73 1.01 1 −0.01 +2.63 −€1.00
M5 Holstein Kiel · Away1 Sep 2019 1 Sep 2019 D 1-1 5.13 0.77 1 +0.23 +2.86 −€1.00
M6 Osnabruck · Home15 Sep 2019 15 Sep 2019 W 1-0 2.56 1.38 3 +1.62 +4.48 +€1.56
M7 Hamburg · Away22 Sep 2019 22 Sep 2019 L 0-4 7.41 0.58 0 −0.58 +3.89 −€1.00
M8 Dresden · Home29 Sep 2019 29 Sep 2019 W 4-1 2.32 1.49 3 +1.51 +5.40 +€1.32
M9 Sandhausen · Away5 Oct 2019 5 Oct 2019 D 2-2 3.33 1.12 1 −0.12 +5.28 −€1.00
M10 Nurnberg · Home18 Oct 2019 18 Oct 2019 W 4-3 2.80 1.28 3 +1.72 +7.00 +€1.80
M11 Darmstadt · Away25 Oct 2019 25 Oct 2019 L 0-1 3.20 1.16 0 −1.16 +5.84 −€1.00
M12 Heidenheim · Home2 Nov 2019 2 Nov 2019 D 1-1 2.26 1.53 1 −0.53 +5.31 −€1.00
M13 Karlsruhe · Away11 Nov 2019 11 Nov 2019 D 1-1 4.03 0.95 1 +0.05 +5.36 −€1.00
M14 St Pauli · Home22 Nov 2019 22 Nov 2019 W 3-1 2.72 1.32 3 +1.68 +7.04 +€1.72
M15 Bochum · Away30 Nov 2019 30 Nov 2019 L 0-2 4.22 0.92 0 −0.92 +6.12 −€1.00
M16 Hannover · Away7 Dec 2019 7 Dec 2019 L 2-3 4.36 0.91 0 −0.91 +5.21 −€1.00
M17 Regensburg · Home13 Dec 2019 13 Dec 2019 W 1-0 2.80 1.28 3 +1.72 +6.93 +€1.80
M18 Greuther Furth · Home21 Dec 2019 21 Dec 2019 W 3-1 2.58 1.38 3 +1.62 +8.55 +€1.58
M19 Wehen · Away28 Jan 2020 28 Jan 2020 L 0-1 2.76 1.31 0 −1.31 +7.24 −€1.00
M20 Bielefeld · Home31 Jan 2020 31 Jan 2020 D 0-0 3.47 1.10 1 −0.10 +7.14 −€1.00
M21 Stuttgart · Away8 Feb 2020 8 Feb 2020 L 0-3 8.62 0.52 0 −0.52 +6.62 −€1.00
M22 Holstein Kiel · Home16 Feb 2020 16 Feb 2020 L 1-2 3.08 1.20 0 −1.20 +5.42 −€1.00
M23 Osnabruck · Away21 Feb 2020 21 Feb 2020 D 0-0 3.34 1.13 1 −0.13 +5.28 −€1.00
M24 Hamburg · Home29 Feb 2020 29 Feb 2020 W 3-0 4.64 0.86 3 +2.14 +7.43 +€3.64
M25 Dresden · Away8 Mar 2020 8 Mar 2020 L 1-2 2.82 1.31 0 −1.31 +6.12 −€1.00
M26 Sandhausen · Home16 May 2020 16 May 2020 W 3-1 2.66 1.36 3 +1.64 +7.75 +€1.66
M27 Nurnberg · Away22 May 2020 22 May 2020 D 1-1 3.67 1.05 1 −0.05 +7.71 −€1.00
M28 Darmstadt · Home26 May 2020 26 May 2020 L 1-3 2.58 1.39 0 −1.39 +6.32 −€1.00
M29 Heidenheim · Away31 May 2020 31 May 2020 L 0-3 4.26 0.94 0 −0.94 +5.38 −€1.00
M30 Karlsruhe · Home7 Jun 2020 7 Jun 2020 W 1-0 2.54 1.40 3 +1.60 +6.98 +€1.54
M31 St Pauli · Away14 Jun 2020 14 Jun 2020 L 1-2 4.14 0.95 0 −0.95 +6.03 −€1.00
M32 Bochum · Home17 Jun 2020 17 Jun 2020 L 1-2 2.93 1.25 0 −1.25 +4.78 −€1.00
M33 Hannover · Home21 Jun 2020 21 Jun 2020 W 2-1 4.00 0.95 3 +2.05 +6.83 +€3.00
M34 Regensburg · Away28 Jun 2020 28 Jun 2020 W 2-1 2.94 1.22 3 +1.78 +8.61 +€1.94
Total 38.39 47 +8.61 +€4.35