← 2. Bundesliga 2019-20

St Pauli

Season 2019-20 · 34 matches played

Last 5LWLDL

Points

39

Points expected by the market

44.90

Gap

−5.90

Yield

−23.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 9 13 15.28 −2.28 −35.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 17 18 22.26 −4.26 −38.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more 8 8 7.36 +0.64 +22.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Bielefeld · Away29 Jul 2019 29 Jul 2019 D 1-1 3.83 0.99 1 +0.01 +0.01 −€1.00
M2 Greuther Furth · Home2 Aug 2019 2 Aug 2019 L 1-3 2.14 1.60 0 −1.60 −1.59 −€1.00
M3 Stuttgart · Away17 Aug 2019 17 Aug 2019 L 1-2 6.80 0.62 0 −0.62 −2.20 −€1.00
M4 Holstein Kiel · Home26 Aug 2019 26 Aug 2019 W 2-1 2.59 1.35 3 +1.65 −0.55 +€1.59
M5 Dresden · Away31 Aug 2019 31 Aug 2019 D 3-3 3.26 1.14 1 −0.14 −0.70 −€1.00
M6 Hamburg · Home16 Sep 2019 16 Sep 2019 W 2-0 3.95 0.97 3 +2.03 +1.34 +€2.95
M7 Osnabruck · Away22 Sep 2019 22 Sep 2019 D 1-1 2.74 1.30 1 −0.30 +1.04 −€1.00
M8 Sandhausen · Home29 Sep 2019 29 Sep 2019 W 2-0 2.26 1.53 3 +1.47 +2.51 +€1.26
M9 Nurnberg · Away6 Oct 2019 6 Oct 2019 D 1-1 3.38 1.10 1 −0.10 +2.41 −€1.00
M10 Darmstadt · Home19 Oct 2019 19 Oct 2019 L 0-1 1.96 1.71 0 −1.71 +0.71 −€1.00
M11 Heidenheim · Away27 Oct 2019 27 Oct 2019 L 0-1 3.68 1.02 0 −1.02 −0.32 −€1.00
M12 Karlsruhe · Home2 Nov 2019 2 Nov 2019 D 2-2 2.09 1.62 1 −0.62 −0.94 −€1.00
M13 Bochum · Home8 Nov 2019 8 Nov 2019 D 1-1 1.84 1.79 1 −0.79 −1.72 −€1.00
M14 Erzgebirge Aue · Away22 Nov 2019 22 Nov 2019 L 1-3 2.54 1.39 0 −1.39 −3.12 −€1.00
M15 Hannover · Home30 Nov 2019 30 Nov 2019 L 0-1 2.42 1.45 0 −1.45 −4.57 −€1.00
M16 Regensburg · Away8 Dec 2019 8 Dec 2019 L 0-1 3.13 1.17 0 −1.17 −5.74 −€1.00
M17 Wehen · Home14 Dec 2019 14 Dec 2019 W 3-1 1.87 1.77 3 +1.23 −4.51 +€0.87
M18 Bielefeld · Home21 Dec 2019 21 Dec 2019 W 3-0 3.23 1.16 3 +1.84 −2.66 +€2.23
M19 Greuther Furth · Away28 Jan 2020 28 Jan 2020 L 0-3 2.51 1.41 0 −1.41 −4.08 −€1.00
M20 Stuttgart · Home1 Feb 2020 1 Feb 2020 D 1-1 3.65 1.04 1 −0.04 −4.11 −€1.00
M21 Holstein Kiel · Away10 Feb 2020 10 Feb 2020 L 1-2 3.70 1.02 0 −1.02 −5.13 −€1.00
M22 Dresden · Home14 Feb 2020 14 Feb 2020 D 0-0 1.92 1.74 1 −0.74 −5.88 −€1.00
M23 Hamburg · Away22 Feb 2020 22 Feb 2020 W 2-0 5.86 0.71 3 +2.29 −3.59 +€4.86
M24 Osnabruck · Home1 Mar 2020 1 Mar 2020 W 3-1 2.06 1.66 3 +1.34 −2.25 +€1.06
M25 Sandhausen · Away8 Mar 2020 8 Mar 2020 D 2-2 2.97 1.24 1 −0.24 −2.49 −€1.00
M26 Nurnberg · Home17 May 2020 17 May 2020 W 1-0 2.30 1.52 3 +1.48 −1.01 +€1.30
M27 Darmstadt · Away23 May 2020 23 May 2020 L 0-4 2.73 1.33 0 −1.33 −2.34 −€1.00
M28 Heidenheim · Home27 May 2020 27 May 2020 D 0-0 2.51 1.41 1 −0.41 −2.75 −€1.00
M29 Karlsruhe · Away30 May 2020 30 May 2020 D 1-1 2.70 1.34 1 −0.34 −3.09 −€1.00
M30 Bochum · Away5 Jun 2020 5 Jun 2020 L 0-2 3.30 1.15 0 −1.15 −4.24 −€1.00
M31 Erzgebirge Aue · Home14 Jun 2020 14 Jun 2020 W 2-1 1.85 1.79 3 +1.21 −3.03 +€0.85
M32 Hannover · Away17 Jun 2020 17 Jun 2020 L 0-4 3.88 0.99 0 −0.99 −4.02 −€1.00
M33 Regensburg · Home21 Jun 2020 21 Jun 2020 D 1-1 2.10 1.61 1 −0.61 −4.62 −€1.00
M34 Wehen · Away28 Jun 2020 28 Jun 2020 L 3-5 2.78 1.27 0 −1.27 −5.90 −€1.00
Total 44.90 39 −5.90 −€8.03