Points
67Points expected by the market
53.92Gap
+13.08Yield
+40.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 34 | +2.43 | +3.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 30 | +8.47 | +60.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.18 | +388.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 26 | +6.22 | +32.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 12 | +3.15 | +48.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 8 | −3.79 | −42.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 18 | +5.33 | +68.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.18 | +388.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | St Pauli · Home21 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.86 | −0.86 |
| M2 | Karlsruhe · Away27 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +0.70 |
| M3 | Osnabruck · Home2 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | +0.01 |
| M4 | Braunschweig · Away17 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.75 | −1.74 |
| M5 | Erzgebirge Aue · Home25 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −0.45 |
| M6 | Wurzburger Kickers · Away1 Nov 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.35 | +0.90 |
| M7 | Greuther Furth · Home7 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −0.47 |
| M8 | Hamburg · Away22 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.18 | +1.71 |
| M9 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home30 Nov 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +3.15 |
| M10 | Holstein Kiel · Away4 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.37 | +1.78 |
| M11 | Paderborn · Home11 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +3.21 |
| M12 | Hannover · Away15 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +1.89 |
| M13 | Heidenheim · Home18 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +3.35 |
| M14 | Darmstadt · Home2 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +4.80 |
| M15 | Regensburg · Away10 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +6.27 |
| M16 | Nurnberg · Home16 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +7.60 |
| M17 | Sandhausen · Away24 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | +6.94 |
| M18 | St Pauli · Away28 Jan 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.49 | +8.43 |
| M19 | Karlsruhe · Home31 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | +6.81 |
| M20 | Osnabruck · Away6 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +8.13 |
| M21 | Braunschweig · Home14 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +9.08 |
| M22 | Erzgebirge Aue · Away19 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.81 | +7.27 |
| M23 | Wurzburger Kickers · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +8.28 |
| M24 | Greuther Furth · Away6 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +9.96 |
| M25 | Hamburg · Home12 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | +8.65 |
| M26 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away22 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +10.31 |
| M27 | Holstein Kiel · Home3 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +11.79 |
| M28 | Paderborn · Away10 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.56 | +10.23 |
| M29 | Hannover · Home18 Apr 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.25 | +11.49 |
| M30 | Heidenheim · Away21 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +13.17 |
| M31 | Darmstadt · Away26 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.53 | +11.64 |
| M32 | Regensburg · Home9 May 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +12.55 |
| M33 | Nurnberg · Away16 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | +11.86 |
| M34 | Sandhausen · Home23 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +13.08 |
| Total | 67 | +13.08 | |||