Points
51Points expected by the market
47.61Gap
+3.39Yield
+19.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.60 | +26.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 17 | +4.84 | +35.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 25 | −6.41 | −14.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 6 | +4.36 | +372.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.60 | +26.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 14 | +3.55 | +26.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 7 | −6.43 | −47.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.29 | +93.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | +0.02 | +8.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 6 | +4.36 | +372.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sandhausen · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.26 |
| M2 | Regensburg · Home26 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −1.94 |
| M3 | Nurnberg · Away5 Oct 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.91 | −0.03 |
| M4 | St Pauli · Home24 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.70 | −0.73 |
| M5 | Osnabruck · Away28 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −1.20 |
| M6 | Karlsruhe · Away1 Nov 2020 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.74 | +0.55 |
| M7 | Paderborn · Home8 Nov 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.54 | −0.99 |
| M8 | Erzgebirge Aue · Away22 Nov 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −2.43 |
| M9 | Braunschweig · Home27 Nov 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −1.18 |
| M10 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away4 Dec 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −2.44 |
| M11 | Hamburg · Home12 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −3.53 |
| M12 | Greuther Furth · Away15 Dec 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −1.66 |
| M13 | Wurzburger Kickers · Home19 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.60 | −1.06 |
| M14 | Bochum · Away2 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −2.24 |
| M15 | Hannover · Home10 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −3.59 |
| M16 | Heidenheim · Away17 Jan 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −4.74 |
| M17 | Holstein Kiel · Home24 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −6.08 |
| M18 | Sandhausen · Home27 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −4.75 |
| M19 | Regensburg · Away30 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −5.11 |
| M20 | Nurnberg · Home6 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −6.63 |
| M21 | Osnabruck · Home14 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | −5.58 |
| M22 | St Pauli · Away20 Feb 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.29 | −6.87 |
| M23 | Karlsruhe · Home26 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −8.27 |
| M24 | Paderborn · Away5 Mar 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.85 | −6.42 |
| M25 | Erzgebirge Aue · Home13 Mar 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −5.11 |
| M26 | Braunschweig · Away20 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −5.64 |
| M27 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home4 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −7.01 |
| M28 | Hamburg · Away9 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.13 | −4.88 |
| M29 | Greuther Furth · Home16 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.13 | −5.01 |
| M30 | Wurzburger Kickers · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −3.73 |
| M31 | Bochum · Home26 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.79 | −1.93 |
| M32 | Hannover · Away7 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −0.34 |
| M33 | Heidenheim · Home16 May 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.16 |
| M34 | Holstein Kiel · Away23 May 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.23 | +3.39 |
| Total | 51 | +3.39 | |||