Points
44Points expected by the market
37.91Gap
+6.09Yield
+4.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.82 | +115.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 29 | +6.66 | +29.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 9 | −3.39 | −43.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.82 | +115.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | −0.06 | −8.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 7 | +4.26 | +165.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 14 | +6.72 | +103.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 2 | −7.65 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wurzburger Kickers · Away19 Sep 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.66 |
| M2 | Greuther Furth · Home25 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +1.21 |
| M3 | Heidenheim · Home18 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.84 |
| M4 | Hamburg · Away21 Oct 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.76 | +2.08 |
| M5 | Bochum · Away25 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | +1.06 |
| M6 | Holstein Kiel · Home31 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.94 |
| M7 | Hannover · Away7 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.23 | +1.17 |
| M8 | Darmstadt · Home22 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +2.89 |
| M9 | Sandhausen · Away28 Nov 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +4.68 |
| M10 | Regensburg · Home6 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | +3.25 |
| M11 | St Pauli · Away13 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | +2.99 |
| M12 | Karlsruhe · Home17 Dec 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +4.79 |
| M13 | Nurnberg · Away20 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | +3.74 |
| M14 | Braunschweig · Home3 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +5.13 |
| M15 | Paderborn · Away10 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +4.20 |
| M16 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home16 Jan 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +3.04 |
| M17 | Osnabruck · Away22 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +4.85 |
| M18 | Wurzburger Kickers · Home26 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +6.28 |
| M19 | Greuther Furth · Away29 Jan 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.77 | +5.51 |
| M20 | Hamburg · Home5 Feb 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.17 | +5.68 |
| M21 | Heidenheim · Away13 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +4.74 |
| M22 | Bochum · Home19 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | +6.80 |
| M23 | Holstein Kiel · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | +6.00 |
| M24 | Hannover · Home6 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +5.86 |
| M25 | Darmstadt · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.02 | +4.85 |
| M26 | Sandhausen · Home20 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +6.41 |
| M27 | Regensburg · Away4 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +6.26 |
| M28 | St Pauli · Home10 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.18 | +5.08 |
| M29 | Nurnberg · Home20 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | +3.87 |
| M30 | Braunschweig · Away23 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +5.75 |
| M31 | Karlsruhe · Away26 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | +5.85 |
| M32 | Paderborn · Home9 May 2021 | L 3-8 | 0 | −1.11 | +4.74 |
| M33 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away16 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.68 | +4.06 |
| M34 | Osnabruck · Home23 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +6.09 |
| Total | 44 | +6.09 | |||