Points
64Points expected by the market
53.68Gap
+10.32Yield
+13.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 38 | +4.56 | +5.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 19 | +2.89 | +9.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.99 | +95.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | +0.59 | −10.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.35 | +11.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +3.97 | +28.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 12 | +2.54 | +8.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.99 | +95.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Osnabruck · Home20 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −0.50 |
| M2 | Erzgebirge Aue · Away25 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.78 |
| M3 | Wurzburger Kickers · Away4 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | −1.42 |
| M4 | Hamburg · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −2.59 |
| M5 | Holstein Kiel · Away24 Oct 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.01 | −0.58 |
| M6 | Hannover · Home1 Nov 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.17 |
| M7 | Bochum · Away7 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +2.82 |
| M8 | Regensburg · Home22 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +3.85 |
| M9 | Nurnberg · Away29 Nov 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | +5.40 |
| M10 | Heidenheim · Home5 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | +3.72 |
| M11 | Sandhausen · Away11 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +5.15 |
| M12 | Darmstadt · Home15 Dec 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.61 | +3.53 |
| M13 | Braunschweig · Away19 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +4.96 |
| M14 | St Pauli · Home3 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +6.07 |
| M15 | Karlsruhe · Away8 Jan 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.49 | +4.58 |
| M16 | Paderborn · Home15 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | +3.98 |
| M17 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away22 Jan 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.23 | +3.76 |
| M18 | Osnabruck · Away26 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +5.08 |
| M19 | Erzgebirge Aue · Home29 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +6.08 |
| M20 | Wurzburger Kickers · Home7 Feb 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +7.12 |
| M21 | Hamburg · Away13 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | +7.10 |
| M22 | Holstein Kiel · Home22 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +8.77 |
| M23 | Hannover · Away27 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | +8.50 |
| M24 | Bochum · Home6 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +7.11 |
| M25 | Regensburg · Away17 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +8.41 |
| M26 | Nurnberg · Home21 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.80 | +7.61 |
| M27 | Heidenheim · Away3 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +9.21 |
| M28 | Darmstadt · Away16 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.61 | +8.60 |
| M29 | Braunschweig · Home20 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +9.48 |
| M30 | St Pauli · Away25 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +7.92 |
| M31 | Sandhausen · Home28 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.09 | +9.01 |
| M32 | Karlsruhe · Home8 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.96 | +8.04 |
| M33 | Paderborn · Away16 May 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.30 | +9.35 |
| M34 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home23 May 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.98 | +10.32 |
| Total | 64 | +10.32 | |||