Points
58Points expected by the market
61.92Gap
−3.92Yield
−13.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.41 | −32.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 28 | 46 | −5.64 | −16.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 8 | +2.13 | +17.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.41 | −32.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 27 | +0.46 | −4.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.46 | +122.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 19 | −6.09 | −28.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.67 | −17.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home18 Sep 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +1.46 |
| M2 | Paderborn · Away28 Sep 2020 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.42 | +2.88 |
| M3 | Greuther Furth · Away17 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +4.31 |
| M4 | Erzgebirge Aue · Home21 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +5.31 |
| M5 | Wurzburger Kickers · Home24 Oct 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.71 | +6.03 |
| M6 | St Pauli · Home30 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.03 | +5.00 |
| M7 | Holstein Kiel · Away9 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | +4.25 |
| M8 | Bochum · Home22 Nov 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.93 | +2.32 |
| M9 | Heidenheim · Away29 Nov 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.60 | +0.72 |
| M10 | Hannover · Home5 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | −1.06 |
| M11 | Darmstadt · Away12 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +0.28 |
| M12 | Sandhausen · Home15 Dec 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +1.20 |
| M13 | Karlsruhe · Away21 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.57 |
| M14 | Regensburg · Home3 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +3.57 |
| M15 | Nurnberg · Away9 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +2.94 |
| M16 | Osnabruck · Home18 Jan 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +3.84 |
| M17 | Braunschweig · Away23 Jan 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.93 | +4.78 |
| M18 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away26 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | +4.39 |
| M19 | Paderborn · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +5.62 |
| M20 | Erzgebirge Aue · Away5 Feb 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.93 | +4.69 |
| M21 | Greuther Furth · Home13 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.73 | +3.97 |
| M22 | Wurzburger Kickers · Away21 Feb 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.01 | +1.95 |
| M23 | St Pauli · Away1 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | +0.22 |
| M24 | Holstein Kiel · Home8 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −0.38 |
| M25 | Bochum · Away12 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +1.21 |
| M26 | Heidenheim · Home20 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +2.48 |
| M27 | Hannover · Away4 Apr 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.53 | +1.95 |
| M28 | Darmstadt · Home9 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.89 | +0.06 |
| M29 | Sandhausen · Away22 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.98 | −1.93 |
| M30 | Regensburg · Away25 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.93 | −2.86 |
| M31 | Karlsruhe · Home29 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.13 | −3.98 |
| M32 | Nurnberg · Home10 May 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.01 | −2.97 |
| M33 | Osnabruck · Away16 May 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.04 | −5.01 |
| M34 | Braunschweig · Home23 May 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −3.92 |
| Total | 58 | −3.92 | |||