Points
42Points expected by the market
52.44Gap
−10.44Yield
−21.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.27 | −27.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 21 | −2.49 | −19.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 15 | −6.92 | −32.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.23 | +33.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.27 | −27.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +2.16 | +8.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −4.86 | −63.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 4 | −4.65 | −63.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −2.06 | −8.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.23 | +33.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Karlsruhe · Home19 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +1.09 |
| M2 | Osnabruck · Away25 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | −0.60 |
| M3 | Braunschweig · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +0.25 |
| M4 | Paderborn · Away18 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.66 | −1.41 |
| M5 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home24 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.20 | −0.21 |
| M6 | Greuther Furth · Away1 Nov 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.48 | −1.69 |
| M7 | Erzgebirge Aue · Home7 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.99 | −2.68 |
| M8 | Wurzburger Kickers · Away22 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.90 | −4.58 |
| M9 | Holstein Kiel · Home29 Nov 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −6.05 |
| M10 | Hamburg · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | −4.01 |
| M11 | Heidenheim · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −5.20 |
| M12 | Bochum · Home15 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −3.60 |
| M13 | Regensburg · Away18 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | −4.05 |
| M14 | Sandhausen · Home3 Jan 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −2.96 |
| M15 | Darmstadt · Away10 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −1.33 |
| M16 | St Pauli · Home16 Jan 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.85 | −3.18 |
| M17 | Nurnberg · Away24 Jan 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.72 | −1.46 |
| M18 | Karlsruhe · Away27 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | −2.87 |
| M19 | Osnabruck · Home1 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.00 | −1.87 |
| M20 | Braunschweig · Away6 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −0.68 |
| M21 | Paderborn · Home12 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −1.26 |
| M22 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away21 Feb 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −2.44 |
| M23 | Greuther Furth · Home27 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −2.89 |
| M24 | Erzgebirge Aue · Away6 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −3.47 |
| M25 | Hamburg · Home4 Apr 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.19 | −3.66 |
| M26 | Wurzburger Kickers · Home8 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.12 | −5.78 |
| M27 | Heidenheim · Home11 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −7.30 |
| M28 | Bochum · Away18 Apr 2021 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.00 | −8.29 |
| M29 | Regensburg · Home21 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −7.10 |
| M30 | Sandhausen · Away25 Apr 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.43 | −8.53 |
| M31 | Darmstadt · Home7 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −9.86 |
| M32 | Holstein Kiel · Away10 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | −10.67 |
| M33 | St Pauli · Away16 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −8.94 |
| M34 | Nurnberg · Home23 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −10.44 |
| Total | 42 | −10.44 | |||