Points
51Points expected by the market
49.07Gap
+1.93Yield
+9.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.34 | −23.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 34 | +4.32 | +17.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.95 | +81.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 11 | −1.38 | −21.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 22 | +7.91 | +80.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.96 | −27.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 12 | −3.59 | −34.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.95 | +81.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Braunschweig · Home20 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.30 |
| M2 | St Pauli · Away27 Sep 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.32 | −0.02 |
| M3 | Paderborn · Home3 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.56 |
| M4 | Erzgebirge Aue · Away18 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.89 |
| M5 | Osnabruck · Home25 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −2.66 |
| M6 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away30 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −4.03 |
| M7 | Wurzburger Kickers · Home6 Nov 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.07 | −2.97 |
| M8 | Holstein Kiel · Away21 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | −3.15 |
| M9 | Hamburg · Home29 Nov 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.88 | −1.27 |
| M10 | Greuther Furth · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +0.68 |
| M11 | Hannover · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +2.15 |
| M12 | Regensburg · Home15 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.82 | +1.33 |
| M13 | Bochum · Away18 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | +0.17 |
| M14 | Nurnberg · Home2 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.71 |
| M15 | Sandhausen · Away8 Jan 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.75 | −0.04 |
| M16 | Darmstadt · Home17 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.40 |
| M17 | Karlsruhe · Away23 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +1.12 |
| M18 | Braunschweig · Away26 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | −0.50 |
| M19 | St Pauli · Home31 Jan 2021 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.76 | −2.26 |
| M20 | Erzgebirge Aue · Home13 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.20 | −1.06 |
| M21 | Osnabruck · Away20 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +0.34 |
| M22 | Paderborn · Away23 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.15 |
| M23 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home28 Feb 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.78 |
| M24 | Wurzburger Kickers · Away5 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +3.29 |
| M25 | Hamburg · Away20 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +2.29 |
| M26 | Greuther Furth · Home3 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | +0.96 |
| M27 | Holstein Kiel · Home6 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +2.57 |
| M28 | Hannover · Away11 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +4.37 |
| M29 | Regensburg · Away18 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +5.93 |
| M30 | Bochum · Home21 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | +4.54 |
| M31 | Nurnberg · Away24 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.37 | +3.17 |
| M32 | Sandhausen · Home9 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +4.76 |
| M33 | Darmstadt · Away16 May 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.24 | +3.52 |
| M34 | Karlsruhe · Home23 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | +1.93 |
| Total | 51 | +1.93 | |||