Points
52Points expected by the market
46.24Gap
+5.76Yield
+12.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −2.98 | −36.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 36 | +9.91 | +59.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.18 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 5 | −7.16 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +2.90 | +43.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +4.18 | +111.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 20 | +7.01 | +75.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.18 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hannover · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.85 |
| M2 | Bochum · Home27 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −2.11 |
| M3 | Regensburg · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −3.51 |
| M4 | Sandhausen · Home17 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −1.93 |
| M5 | Nurnberg · Away23 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −2.25 |
| M6 | Darmstadt · Home1 Nov 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.46 | −3.71 |
| M7 | St Pauli · Away8 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −1.99 |
| M8 | Braunschweig · Away21 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −0.60 |
| M9 | Paderborn · Home28 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.09 |
| M10 | Osnabruck · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +2.59 |
| M11 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home13 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | +1.10 |
| M12 | Erzgebirge Aue · Away17 Dec 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.52 | −0.42 |
| M13 | Hamburg · Home21 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.52 |
| M14 | Wurzburger Kickers · Away2 Jan 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.36 | −0.16 |
| M15 | Greuther Furth · Home8 Jan 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.77 | +1.61 |
| M16 | Holstein Kiel · Away17 Jan 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.86 | +3.47 |
| M17 | Heidenheim · Home23 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +3.04 |
| M18 | Hannover · Home27 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +4.72 |
| M19 | Bochum · Away31 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +6.62 |
| M20 | Regensburg · Home7 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | +5.94 |
| M21 | Sandhausen · Away13 Feb 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.44 | +7.38 |
| M22 | Nurnberg · Home21 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.63 | +5.75 |
| M23 | Darmstadt · Away26 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +7.42 |
| M24 | St Pauli · Home6 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | +6.84 |
| M25 | Braunschweig · Home14 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | +6.10 |
| M26 | Paderborn · Away19 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | +5.86 |
| M27 | Osnabruck · Home3 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | +4.08 |
| M28 | Wurzburger Kickers · Home23 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.91 | +3.17 |
| M29 | Erzgebirge Aue · Home26 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.84 | +2.33 |
| M30 | Hamburg · Away29 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.34 | +2.67 |
| M31 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away3 May 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.87 | +1.80 |
| M32 | Greuther Furth · Away8 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.19 | +1.99 |
| M33 | Holstein Kiel · Home16 May 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.92 | +3.91 |
| M34 | Heidenheim · Away23 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +5.76 |
| Total | 52 | +5.76 | |||