Points
44Points expected by the market
46.78Gap
−2.78Yield
−17.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 10 | −3.78 | −54.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 32 | +3.87 | +17.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.86 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.84 | −27.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −2.19 | −32.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −2.95 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 19 | +6.06 | +71.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.80 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Regensburg · Away18 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.64 |
| M2 | Sandhausen · Home27 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.81 |
| M3 | Darmstadt · Home5 Oct 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.65 | −0.84 |
| M4 | St Pauli · Away19 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | −1.27 |
| M5 | Karlsruhe · Home23 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −1.66 |
| M6 | Braunschweig · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.60 | −3.26 |
| M7 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home7 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −3.64 |
| M8 | Osnabruck · Away23 Nov 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −2.02 |
| M9 | Greuther Furth · Home29 Nov 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −3.29 |
| M10 | Paderborn · Away6 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −1.50 |
| M11 | Wurzburger Kickers · Home13 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | −0.50 |
| M12 | Holstein Kiel · Away16 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.61 |
| M13 | Erzgebirge Aue · Home20 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −0.29 |
| M14 | Heidenheim · Away2 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.53 |
| M15 | Hamburg · Home9 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −1.63 |
| M16 | Bochum · Away16 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −2.69 |
| M17 | Hannover · Home24 Jan 2021 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.43 | −4.12 |
| M18 | Regensburg · Home27 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −5.65 |
| M19 | Sandhausen · Away31 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −7.16 |
| M20 | Darmstadt · Away6 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | −5.36 |
| M21 | St Pauli · Home14 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −6.80 |
| M22 | Karlsruhe · Away21 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −4.90 |
| M23 | Braunschweig · Home28 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | −5.65 |
| M24 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away7 Mar 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −6.68 |
| M25 | Osnabruck · Home14 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | −7.44 |
| M26 | Greuther Furth · Away21 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | −7.38 |
| M27 | Paderborn · Home4 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −5.76 |
| M28 | Wurzburger Kickers · Away11 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −6.47 |
| M29 | Erzgebirge Aue · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −4.99 |
| M30 | Heidenheim · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −3.33 |
| M31 | Holstein Kiel · Home27 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −3.68 |
| M32 | Hamburg · Away10 May 2021 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.78 | −4.46 |
| M33 | Bochum · Home16 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −4.52 |
| M34 | Hannover · Away23 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | −2.78 |
| Total | 44 | −2.78 | |||