Points
33Points expected by the market
39.14Gap
−6.14Yield
−8.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 0 | −3.60 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 17 | −3.92 | −20.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 16 | +1.37 | +13.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.80 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 4 | −8.96 | −75.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +0.27 | +50.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.80 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 13 | +5.04 | +71.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 10 | +1.10 | −8.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Greuther Furth · Away20 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.22 |
| M2 | Hannover · Home25 Sep 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +1.73 |
| M3 | Bochum · Away2 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | +1.69 |
| M4 | Heidenheim · Away25 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | +1.72 |
| M5 | Darmstadt · Home28 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +1.47 |
| M6 | Sandhausen · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +3.05 |
| M7 | Regensburg · Away8 Nov 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.68 | +4.73 |
| M8 | Nurnberg · Home23 Nov 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.34 | +3.39 |
| M9 | St Pauli · Away27 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +5.12 |
| M10 | Karlsruhe · Home5 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +3.91 |
| M11 | Braunschweig · Away13 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +5.44 |
| M12 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away16 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | +4.27 |
| M13 | Paderborn · Home19 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | +3.06 |
| M14 | Holstein Kiel · Away3 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.18 | +5.24 |
| M15 | Wurzburger Kickers · Home9 Jan 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.80 | +3.44 |
| M16 | Hamburg · Away18 Jan 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.68 | +2.76 |
| M17 | Erzgebirge Aue · Home22 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +1.23 |
| M18 | Greuther Furth · Home26 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | +0.17 |
| M19 | Hannover · Away1 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | −0.59 |
| M20 | Bochum · Home6 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −1.64 |
| M21 | Darmstadt · Away14 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −2.44 |
| M22 | Heidenheim · Home20 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −3.56 |
| M23 | Sandhausen · Away28 Feb 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −4.63 |
| M24 | Nurnberg · Away14 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −4.59 |
| M25 | St Pauli · Home21 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −5.70 |
| M26 | Karlsruhe · Away3 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | −3.65 |
| M27 | Braunschweig · Home11 Apr 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.52 | −5.17 |
| M28 | Regensburg · Home14 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −6.41 |
| M29 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home18 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −7.36 |
| M30 | Paderborn · Away21 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.15 | −7.20 |
| M31 | Holstein Kiel · Home24 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −8.09 |
| M32 | Wurzburger Kickers · Away8 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −6.60 |
| M33 | Hamburg · Home16 May 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.26 | −4.34 |
| M34 | Erzgebirge Aue · Away23 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.80 | −6.14 |
| Total | 33 | −6.14 | |||