Points
38Points expected by the market
41.02Gap
−3.02Yield
−34.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.49 | +88.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 27 | +0.44 | −7.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 5 | −5.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.49 | +88.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | −0.22 | −21.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.85 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.66 | +19.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −5.09 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nurnberg · Home18 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.09 |
| M2 | Darmstadt · Away26 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.15 |
| M3 | Karlsruhe · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +1.53 |
| M4 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away18 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | +1.55 |
| M5 | Braunschweig · Home23 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +2.74 |
| M6 | Paderborn · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.50 |
| M7 | Osnabruck · Home8 Nov 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.11 |
| M8 | Greuther Furth · Away22 Nov 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −0.70 |
| M9 | Wurzburger Kickers · Home28 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +0.60 |
| M10 | Erzgebirge Aue · Away6 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +2.32 |
| M11 | Holstein Kiel · Home12 Dec 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.07 |
| M12 | Heidenheim · Away15 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | +1.15 |
| M13 | Hannover · Home18 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.89 |
| M14 | Hamburg · Away3 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.77 | +0.12 |
| M15 | Bochum · Home10 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.08 |
| M16 | Sandhausen · Home17 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.37 |
| M17 | St Pauli · Away24 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −0.88 |
| M18 | Nurnberg · Away27 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +0.94 |
| M19 | Darmstadt · Home30 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.58 |
| M20 | Karlsruhe · Away7 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.53 |
| M21 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home13 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.30 |
| M22 | Braunschweig · Away19 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.18 |
| M23 | Paderborn · Home26 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +0.58 |
| M24 | Greuther Furth · Home17 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.44 |
| M25 | Wurzburger Kickers · Away21 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.87 |
| M26 | Erzgebirge Aue · Home4 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −1.43 |
| M27 | Osnabruck · Away14 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +0.11 |
| M28 | Heidenheim · Home18 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.16 |
| M29 | Hannover · Away21 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −2.09 |
| M30 | Hamburg · Home25 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | −1.92 |
| M31 | Bochum · Away9 May 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.70 | −2.62 |
| M32 | Holstein Kiel · Away13 May 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −3.43 |
| M33 | Sandhausen · Away16 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −4.50 |
| M34 | St Pauli · Home23 May 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −3.02 |
| Total | 38 | −3.02 | |||