Points
34Points expected by the market
41.52Gap
−7.52Yield
−18.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +4.63 | +61.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 13 | −11.01 | −44.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 8 | −1.14 | −8.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +4.63 | +61.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.32 | +4.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 8 | +4.15 | +129.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 3 | −10.70 | −79.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 0 | −5.28 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Darmstadt · Home19 Sep 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | +1.55 |
| M2 | Nurnberg · Away27 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.38 |
| M3 | St Pauli · Home2 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.73 |
| M4 | Karlsruhe · Away17 Oct 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.28 | +0.45 |
| M5 | Paderborn · Home25 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +0.05 |
| M6 | Osnabruck · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −1.25 |
| M7 | Braunschweig · Home6 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.69 | −1.93 |
| M8 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −3.04 |
| M9 | Erzgebirge Aue · Home28 Nov 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.50 | −4.55 |
| M10 | Wurzburger Kickers · Away6 Dec 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.46 | −3.08 |
| M11 | Greuther Furth · Home11 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −4.24 |
| M12 | Hamburg · Away15 Dec 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.70 | −4.94 |
| M13 | Holstein Kiel · Home20 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −6.09 |
| M14 | Hannover · Away3 Jan 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.85 | −6.93 |
| M15 | Heidenheim · Home8 Jan 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.01 | −4.92 |
| M16 | Regensburg · Away17 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −6.08 |
| M17 | Bochum · Home24 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −6.14 |
| M18 | Darmstadt · Away27 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −7.20 |
| M19 | Nurnberg · Home31 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −5.39 |
| M20 | St Pauli · Away5 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −6.48 |
| M21 | Karlsruhe · Home13 Feb 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −7.64 |
| M22 | Paderborn · Away20 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −8.50 |
| M23 | Osnabruck · Home28 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −7.14 |
| M24 | Braunschweig · Away7 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −8.51 |
| M25 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home13 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −8.54 |
| M26 | Erzgebirge Aue · Away20 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −9.83 |
| M27 | Wurzburger Kickers · Home4 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −8.55 |
| M28 | Hamburg · Home22 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.22 | −6.33 |
| M29 | Hannover · Home25 Apr 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.70 | −4.63 |
| M30 | Greuther Furth · Away28 Apr 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −5.47 |
| M31 | Holstein Kiel · Away4 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −6.56 |
| M32 | Heidenheim · Away9 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −7.88 |
| M33 | Regensburg · Home16 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −6.55 |
| M34 | Bochum · Away23 May 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.97 | −7.52 |
| Total | 34 | −7.52 | |||