Points
47Points expected by the market
43.58Gap
+3.42Yield
+3.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 12 | +4.94 | +90.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 22 | −6.19 | −26.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 13 | +4.67 | +35.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.55 | +82.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −2.53 | −13.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.04 | +86.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.39 | +112.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −3.66 | −44.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 9 | +2.62 | +20.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bochum · Away21 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.11 |
| M2 | Heidenheim · Home27 Sep 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.72 |
| M3 | Sandhausen · Away2 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | +0.64 |
| M4 | Nurnberg · Home19 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.35 |
| M5 | Darmstadt · Away24 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.30 |
| M6 | Hamburg · Away30 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.55 |
| M7 | Karlsruhe · Home8 Nov 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −0.90 |
| M8 | Paderborn · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −1.85 |
| M9 | Osnabruck · Home27 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −3.31 |
| M10 | Braunschweig · Away5 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −4.80 |
| M11 | Erzgebirge Aue · Home13 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | −5.26 |
| M12 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home20 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −6.53 |
| M13 | Greuther Furth · Away3 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −7.40 |
| M14 | Wurzburger Kickers · Away6 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −7.84 |
| M15 | Holstein Kiel · Home9 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | −7.78 |
| M16 | Hannover · Away16 Jan 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.10 | −5.68 |
| M17 | Regensburg · Home24 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −4.16 |
| M18 | Bochum · Home28 Jan 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −5.38 |
| M19 | Heidenheim · Away31 Jan 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.04 | −3.34 |
| M20 | Sandhausen · Home5 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | −1.98 |
| M21 | Nurnberg · Away14 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | −0.27 |
| M22 | Darmstadt · Home20 Feb 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.30 |
| M23 | Hamburg · Home1 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +3.29 |
| M24 | Karlsruhe · Away6 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | +3.14 |
| M25 | Paderborn · Home15 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | +1.74 |
| M26 | Osnabruck · Away21 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +3.13 |
| M27 | Braunschweig · Home5 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +4.26 |
| M28 | Erzgebirge Aue · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +5.71 |
| M29 | Wurzburger Kickers · Home17 Apr 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +6.77 |
| M30 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away21 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +5.53 |
| M31 | Greuther Furth · Home25 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +7.34 |
| M32 | Holstein Kiel · Away7 May 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.23 | +6.11 |
| M33 | Hannover · Home16 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | +4.63 |
| M34 | Regensburg · Away23 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | +3.42 |
| Total | 47 | +3.42 | |||