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← 2. Bundesliga 2020-21

Wurzburger Kickers

Season 2020-21 · 34 matches played

Last 5LDLWD

Points

25

Points expected by the market

32.39

Gap

−7.39

Yield

−12.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 0 — — — —
Even 2.20 – 3.49 11 4 13.46 −9.46 −100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 23 21 18.94 +2.06 +29.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Erzgebirge Aue · Home19 Sep 2020 19 Sep 2020 L 0-3 2.59 1.37 0 −1.37 −1.37 −€1.00
M2 Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away26 Sep 2020 26 Sep 2020 L 0-1 6.42 0.65 0 −0.65 −2.02 −€1.00
M3 Greuther Furth · Home4 Oct 2020 4 Oct 2020 D 2-2 3.35 1.10 1 −0.10 −2.12 −€1.00
M4 Holstein Kiel · Home18 Oct 2020 18 Oct 2020 L 0-2 3.92 0.96 0 −0.96 −3.08 −€1.00
M5 Hamburg · Away24 Oct 2020 24 Oct 2020 L 1-3 8.27 0.53 0 −0.53 −3.61 −€1.00
M6 Bochum · Home1 Nov 2020 1 Nov 2020 L 2-3 3.42 1.09 0 −1.09 −4.70 −€1.00
M7 Heidenheim · Away6 Nov 2020 6 Nov 2020 L 1-4 4.87 0.82 0 −0.82 −5.52 −€1.00
M8 Hannover · Home22 Nov 2020 22 Nov 2020 W 2-1 4.46 0.87 3 +2.13 −3.38 +€3.46
M9 Regensburg · Away28 Nov 2020 28 Nov 2020 L 1-2 3.57 1.05 0 −1.05 −4.43 −€1.00
M10 Sandhausen · Home6 Dec 2020 6 Dec 2020 L 2-3 3.12 1.19 0 −1.19 −5.62 −€1.00
M11 Nurnberg · Away13 Dec 2020 13 Dec 2020 L 1-2 5.29 0.77 0 −0.77 −6.39 −€1.00
M12 Darmstadt · Away19 Dec 2020 19 Dec 2020 L 0-2 10.15 0.44 0 −0.44 −6.83 −€1.00
M13 Karlsruhe · Home2 Jan 2021 2 Jan 2021 L 2-4 3.43 1.09 0 −1.09 −7.92 −€1.00
M14 St Pauli · Home6 Jan 2021 6 Jan 2021 D 1-1 2.73 1.30 1 −0.30 −8.22 −€1.00
M15 Osnabruck · Away9 Jan 2021 9 Jan 2021 W 3-2 4.17 0.94 3 +2.06 −6.16 +€3.17
M16 Braunschweig · Home15 Jan 2021 15 Jan 2021 D 0-0 2.42 1.46 1 −0.46 −6.62 −€1.00
M17 Paderborn · Away23 Jan 2021 23 Jan 2021 L 0-1 5.19 0.78 0 −0.78 −7.40 −€1.00
M18 Erzgebirge Aue · Away26 Jan 2021 26 Jan 2021 L 1-2 3.24 1.15 0 −1.15 −8.55 −€1.00
M19 Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home29 Jan 2021 29 Jan 2021 W 2-1 4.53 0.87 3 +2.13 −6.42 +€3.53
M20 Greuther Furth · Away7 Feb 2021 7 Feb 2021 L 1-4 5.14 0.79 0 −0.79 −7.21 −€1.00
M21 Holstein Kiel · Away12 Feb 2021 12 Feb 2021 L 0-1 4.85 0.82 0 −0.82 −8.03 −€1.00
M22 Hamburg · Home21 Feb 2021 21 Feb 2021 W 3-2 5.30 0.76 3 +2.24 −5.79 +€4.30
M23 Bochum · Away27 Feb 2021 27 Feb 2021 L 0-3 5.35 0.77 0 −0.77 −6.56 −€1.00
M24 Heidenheim · Home5 Mar 2021 5 Mar 2021 L 1-2 3.02 1.22 0 −1.22 −7.78 −€1.00
M25 Regensburg · Home21 Mar 2021 21 Mar 2021 D 1-1 2.90 1.27 1 −0.27 −8.06 −€1.00
M26 Sandhausen · Away4 Apr 2021 4 Apr 2021 L 0-1 3.83 1.01 0 −1.01 −9.06 −€1.00
M27 Hannover · Away8 Apr 2021 8 Apr 2021 W 2-1 6.34 0.66 3 +2.34 −6.72 +€5.34
M28 Nurnberg · Home11 Apr 2021 11 Apr 2021 D 1-1 3.70 1.03 1 −0.03 −6.75 −€1.00
M29 St Pauli · Away17 Apr 2021 17 Apr 2021 L 0-4 4.78 0.83 0 −0.83 −7.58 −€1.00
M30 Darmstadt · Home20 Apr 2021 20 Apr 2021 L 1-3 3.58 1.04 0 −1.04 −8.61 −€1.00
M31 Karlsruhe · Away23 Apr 2021 23 Apr 2021 D 2-2 4.53 0.86 1 +0.14 −8.47 −€1.00
M32 Osnabruck · Home8 May 2021 8 May 2021 L 1-3 2.98 1.22 0 −1.22 −9.69 −€1.00
M33 Braunschweig · Away16 May 2021 16 May 2021 W 2-1 5.04 0.80 3 +2.20 −7.49 +€4.04
M34 Paderborn · Home23 May 2021 23 May 2021 D 1-1 4.05 0.91 1 +0.09 −7.39 −€1.00
Total 32.39 25 −7.39 −€4.16