Points
26Points expected by the market
32.01Gap
−6.01Yield
−33.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 10 | −3.99 | −23.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 16 | −2.02 | −37.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −1.43 | −6.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 2 | −5.10 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.56 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 14 | +3.08 | −4.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nurnberg · Away25 Jul 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.28 |
| M2 | St Pauli · Home1 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.24 |
| M3 | Schalke 04 · Away13 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.56 |
| M4 | Sandhausen · Home22 Aug 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −0.88 |
| M5 | Holstein Kiel · Away28 Aug 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −1.71 |
| M6 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home12 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −2.71 |
| M7 | Paderborn · Home19 Sep 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.99 | −3.70 |
| M8 | Regensburg · Away24 Sep 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −4.50 |
| M9 | Hamburg · Home1 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −4.23 |
| M10 | Karlsruhe · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −5.02 |
| M11 | Ingolstadt · Home22 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −3.49 |
| M12 | Hannover · Away30 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | −3.32 |
| M13 | Heidenheim · Home7 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −1.44 |
| M14 | Hansa Rostock · Away20 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +0.53 |
| M15 | Darmstadt · Home27 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −0.47 |
| M16 | Werder Bremen · Away3 Dec 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.61 | −1.08 |
| M17 | Dresden · Home12 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −2.41 |
| M18 | Nurnberg · Home18 Dec 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −3.56 |
| M19 | St Pauli · Away15 Jan 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.44 | −3.13 |
| M20 | Schalke 04 · Home22 Jan 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.93 | −4.06 |
| M21 | Sandhausen · Away5 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −5.35 |
| M22 | Holstein Kiel · Home11 Feb 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −6.35 |
| M23 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away20 Feb 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.77 | −7.12 |
| M24 | Paderborn · Away25 Feb 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.25 | −6.87 |
| M25 | Regensburg · Home6 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −5.18 |
| M26 | Karlsruhe · Home18 Mar 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −6.54 |
| M27 | Ingolstadt · Away1 Apr 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −7.81 |
| M28 | Hamburg · Away5 Apr 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.47 | −8.27 |
| M29 | Hannover · Home9 Apr 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −9.39 |
| M30 | Heidenheim · Away17 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.36 | −7.03 |
| M31 | Hansa Rostock · Home24 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −7.17 |
| M32 | Darmstadt · Away30 Apr 2022 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.50 | −7.67 |
| M33 | Werder Bremen · Home8 May 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.41 | −8.08 |
| M34 | Dresden · Away15 May 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.07 | −6.01 |
| Total | 26 | −6.01 | |||