Points
34Points expected by the market
42.82Gap
−8.82Yield
−19.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 4 | −6.00 | −66.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 25 | −0.80 | −1.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.02 | −29.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 4 | −4.34 | −59.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | −0.72 | −8.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.66 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.08 | +10.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.02 | −29.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sandhausen · Away16 Jul 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −1.40 |
| M2 | Regensburg · Home24 Jul 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.60 | −3.00 |
| M3 | Hansa Rostock · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −4.23 |
| M4 | Hamburg · Home13 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −5.34 |
| M5 | Heidenheim · Away21 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | −5.22 |
| M6 | Braunschweig · Home26 Aug 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.34 | −3.88 |
| M7 | Darmstadt · Away4 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | −3.62 |
| M8 | Nurnberg · Away9 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −4.84 |
| M9 | Holstein Kiel · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.50 | −3.33 |
| M10 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.87 | −4.20 |
| M11 | Karlsruhe · Home7 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −5.33 |
| M12 | Hannover · Away15 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −6.34 |
| M13 | St Pauli · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −4.51 |
| M14 | Greuther Furth · Away28 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −5.54 |
| M15 | Kaiserslautern · Home5 Nov 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −6.77 |
| M16 | Paderborn · Away8 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.28 | −4.49 |
| M17 | Magdeburg · Home13 Nov 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.56 | −2.93 |
| M18 | Sandhausen · Home29 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.62 | −4.55 |
| M19 | Regensburg · Away4 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −2.85 |
| M20 | Hansa Rostock · Home10 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −4.40 |
| M21 | Hamburg · Away19 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −5.12 |
| M22 | Heidenheim · Home26 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −6.39 |
| M23 | Braunschweig · Away5 Mar 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.34 | −6.74 |
| M24 | Darmstadt · Home11 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.80 | −4.94 |
| M25 | Nurnberg · Home17 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | −5.58 |
| M26 | Holstein Kiel · Away2 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.89 | −3.69 |
| M27 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home9 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | −4.03 |
| M28 | Karlsruhe · Away16 Apr 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.17 | −5.20 |
| M29 | Hannover · Home22 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.82 | −7.02 |
| M30 | St Pauli · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −8.06 |
| M31 | Greuther Furth · Home5 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −8.56 |
| M32 | Kaiserslautern · Away13 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −6.88 |
| M33 | Paderborn · Home20 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | −7.16 |
| M34 | Magdeburg · Away28 May 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.66 | −8.82 |
| Total | 34 | −8.82 | |||