Points
67Points expected by the market
56.48Gap
+10.52Yield
+18.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 47 | +7.93 | +19.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 17 | +1.80 | +15.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 34 | +6.55 | +19.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.40 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 13 | +1.38 | +17.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +2.21 | +27.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Regensburg · Away16 Jul 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.64 | −1.64 |
| M2 | Sandhausen · Home22 Jul 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | −0.46 |
| M3 | Braunschweig · Away7 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.91 |
| M4 | Hansa Rostock · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +1.90 |
| M5 | Hamburg · Away19 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +3.72 |
| M6 | Heidenheim · Home27 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.80 | +2.92 |
| M7 | Bielefeld · Home4 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.04 | +1.87 |
| M8 | Kaiserslautern · Away11 Sep 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.66 | +1.21 |
| M9 | Nurnberg · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +2.31 |
| M10 | Paderborn · Away30 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +3.97 |
| M11 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home8 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +5.40 |
| M12 | Karlsruhe · Away15 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +6.96 |
| M13 | Holstein Kiel · Home21 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | +6.13 |
| M14 | St Pauli · Away29 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +5.78 |
| M15 | Hannover · Home4 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +6.95 |
| M16 | Magdeburg · Away10 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +8.33 |
| M17 | Greuther Furth · Home13 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +7.69 |
| M18 | Regensburg · Home28 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +8.63 |
| M19 | Sandhausen · Away3 Feb 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +9.99 |
| M20 | Braunschweig · Home12 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +10.97 |
| M21 | Hansa Rostock · Away18 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +12.47 |
| M22 | Hamburg · Home25 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +12.06 |
| M23 | Heidenheim · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | +10.85 |
| M24 | Bielefeld · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.52 | +9.34 |
| M25 | Kaiserslautern · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +10.59 |
| M26 | Nurnberg · Away31 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +12.07 |
| M27 | Paderborn · Home9 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +13.48 |
| M28 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away16 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | +12.24 |
| M29 | Karlsruhe · Home21 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +13.36 |
| M30 | Holstein Kiel · Away30 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +14.69 |
| M31 | St Pauli · Home6 May 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.71 | +12.98 |
| M32 | Hannover · Away14 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | +11.22 |
| M33 | Magdeburg · Home19 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +12.01 |
| M34 | Greuther Furth · Away28 May 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.49 | +10.52 |
| Total | 67 | +10.52 | |||