Points
58Points expected by the market
52.17Gap
+5.83Yield
+8.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 31 | +4.20 | +8.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 26 | +1.62 | +15.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.01 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 27 | +3.45 | +8.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 10 | +4.02 | +72.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.75 | +8.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 16 | −2.40 | −0.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.01 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Magdeburg · Away16 Jul 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +1.74 |
| M2 | Paderborn · Home22 Jul 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +3.21 |
| M3 | Sandhausen · Away5 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | +1.67 |
| M4 | Greuther Furth · Home14 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | +1.00 |
| M5 | Braunschweig · Away20 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.66 | +0.34 |
| M6 | Regensburg · Home26 Aug 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +1.41 |
| M7 | Heidenheim · Away2 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +0.08 |
| M8 | Hansa Rostock · Home10 Sep 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +1.27 |
| M9 | Hamburg · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +0.19 |
| M10 | Bielefeld · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.31 |
| M11 | Darmstadt · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +0.14 |
| M12 | Nurnberg · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.80 | −1.65 |
| M13 | Karlsruhe · Away23 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +0.18 |
| M14 | Holstein Kiel · Away29 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.89 |
| M15 | St Pauli · Home5 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +3.39 |
| M16 | Hannover · Away8 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +2.01 |
| M17 | Kaiserslautern · Home11 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.72 | +0.29 |
| M18 | Magdeburg · Home27 Jan 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.09 | +1.38 |
| M19 | Paderborn · Away3 Feb 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.25 | +0.13 |
| M20 | Sandhausen · Home12 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +1.14 |
| M21 | Greuther Furth · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −0.08 |
| M22 | Braunschweig · Home24 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +0.93 |
| M23 | Regensburg · Away4 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.34 |
| M24 | Heidenheim · Home11 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +1.71 |
| M25 | Hansa Rostock · Away19 Mar 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.43 | +3.14 |
| M26 | Hamburg · Home31 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | +2.68 |
| M27 | Bielefeld · Away9 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | +2.30 |
| M28 | Darmstadt · Home16 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +3.82 |
| M29 | Nurnberg · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +2.25 |
| M30 | Karlsruhe · Home30 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.45 | +3.70 |
| M31 | Holstein Kiel · Home6 May 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +4.82 |
| M32 | St Pauli · Away13 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | +4.83 |
| M33 | Hannover · Home21 May 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.79 | +4.04 |
| M34 | Kaiserslautern · Away28 May 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +5.83 |
| Total | 58 | +5.83 | |||