Points
41Points expected by the market
47.81Gap
−6.81Yield
−28.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | +2.14 | −10.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 18 | −7.08 | −24.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.86 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | +0.89 | −20.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 13 | +3.66 | +66.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.24 | +90.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 5 | −10.75 | −77.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.86 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Holstein Kiel · Home16 Jul 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.58 |
| M2 | Nurnberg · Away23 Jul 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −2.00 |
| M3 | Karlsruhe · Home5 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −2.72 |
| M4 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away14 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | −2.79 |
| M5 | Kaiserslautern · Home21 Aug 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.54 | −4.33 |
| M6 | Hannover · Away28 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −5.49 |
| M7 | St Pauli · Home3 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | −5.96 |
| M8 | Magdeburg · Away11 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −7.48 |
| M9 | Paderborn · Home18 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | −5.61 |
| M10 | Sandhausen · Home1 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | −6.37 |
| M11 | Regensburg · Away7 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | −6.89 |
| M12 | Hansa Rostock · Home14 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | −7.48 |
| M13 | Heidenheim · Away23 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −8.60 |
| M14 | Bielefeld · Home28 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −7.30 |
| M15 | Braunschweig · Away6 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −5.62 |
| M16 | Hamburg · Home9 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −3.79 |
| M17 | Darmstadt · Away13 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −3.87 |
| M18 | Holstein Kiel · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −5.20 |
| M19 | Nurnberg · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −3.83 |
| M20 | Karlsruhe · Away10 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −5.15 |
| M21 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −3.64 |
| M22 | Kaiserslautern · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −4.82 |
| M23 | Hannover · Home5 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.82 | −5.64 |
| M24 | St Pauli · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −6.77 |
| M25 | Magdeburg · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −5.44 |
| M26 | Paderborn · Away2 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −6.51 |
| M27 | Sandhausen · Away9 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −5.27 |
| M28 | Regensburg · Home14 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −4.06 |
| M29 | Hansa Rostock · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −5.55 |
| M30 | Heidenheim · Home28 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −6.86 |
| M31 | Bielefeld · Away5 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −7.09 |
| M32 | Braunschweig · Home13 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | −7.94 |
| M33 | Hamburg · Away20 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.63 | −8.57 |
| M34 | Darmstadt · Home28 May 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −6.81 |
| Total | 41 | −6.81 | |||