Points
44Points expected by the market
43.60Gap
+0.40Yield
−8.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | +0.68 | −0.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 20 | −0.02 | +1.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 10 | −0.26 | −27.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | +0.68 | −0.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.77 | −5.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.01 | +280.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.75 | +9.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 7 | −2.27 | −58.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kaiserslautern · Away15 Jul 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.29 |
| M2 | St Pauli · Home23 Jul 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.51 | −1.80 |
| M3 | Paderborn · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.88 |
| M4 | Regensburg · Home14 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −1.52 |
| M5 | Magdeburg · Away19 Aug 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +0.14 |
| M6 | Greuther Furth · Home28 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.57 |
| M7 | Hansa Rostock · Away4 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +3.25 |
| M8 | Braunschweig · Home10 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +2.53 |
| M9 | Sandhausen · Away16 Sep 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.51 | +4.04 |
| M10 | Hamburg · Home30 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +2.94 |
| M11 | Heidenheim · Away9 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +1.95 |
| M12 | Bielefeld · Home15 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +3.23 |
| M13 | Nurnberg · Away22 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | +3.18 |
| M14 | Karlsruhe · Home30 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +4.76 |
| M15 | Darmstadt · Away4 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | +3.84 |
| M16 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home8 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +5.51 |
| M17 | Holstein Kiel · Away11 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | +5.49 |
| M18 | Kaiserslautern · Home28 Jan 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.56 | +3.93 |
| M19 | St Pauli · Away5 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.01 | +2.92 |
| M20 | Paderborn · Home11 Feb 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.21 | +1.71 |
| M21 | Regensburg · Away18 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +1.25 |
| M22 | Magdeburg · Home26 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.65 | −0.40 |
| M23 | Greuther Furth · Away5 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −0.32 |
| M24 | Hansa Rostock · Home12 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.90 |
| M25 | Braunschweig · Away19 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −2.17 |
| M26 | Sandhausen · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.16 | −1.01 |
| M27 | Hamburg · Away8 Apr 2023 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.55 | −1.56 |
| M28 | Heidenheim · Home14 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −2.72 |
| M29 | Bielefeld · Away22 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.07 | −0.65 |
| M30 | Nurnberg · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.87 |
| M31 | Karlsruhe · Away6 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −0.03 |
| M32 | Darmstadt · Home14 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +1.98 |
| M33 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away21 May 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.03 | +2.01 |
| M34 | Holstein Kiel · Home28 May 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.61 | +0.40 |
| Total | 44 | +0.40 | |||