Points
41Points expected by the market
40.73Gap
+0.27Yield
+6.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.37 | +2.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 33 | +3.71 | +24.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −3.07 | −36.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.37 | +2.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 16 | −2.60 | −5.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.99 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 17 | +6.32 | +69.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.08 | −29.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Heidenheim · Home17 Jul 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −1.48 |
| M2 | Hamburg · Away24 Jul 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.28 | +0.80 |
| M3 | Bielefeld · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.31 |
| M4 | Darmstadt · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.77 | +1.54 |
| M5 | St Pauli · Home21 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +3.20 |
| M6 | Karlsruhe · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +2.09 |
| M7 | Hannover · Home4 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | +0.68 |
| M8 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away10 Sep 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −0.24 |
| M9 | Magdeburg · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.11 |
| M10 | Holstein Kiel · Away1 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | +1.08 |
| M11 | Paderborn · Home8 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.07 |
| M12 | Greuther Furth · Away14 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.20 |
| M13 | Kaiserslautern · Home21 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.47 |
| M14 | Regensburg · Away29 Oct 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +0.31 |
| M15 | Sandhausen · Home4 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.72 | −1.41 |
| M16 | Nurnberg · Home9 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −1.88 |
| M17 | Braunschweig · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −0.16 |
| M18 | Heidenheim · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −1.12 |
| M19 | Hamburg · Home5 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −2.11 |
| M20 | Bielefeld · Away10 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −0.27 |
| M21 | Darmstadt · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.47 |
| M22 | St Pauli · Away26 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | −2.24 |
| M23 | Karlsruhe · Home5 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −3.57 |
| M24 | Hannover · Away12 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −3.71 |
| M25 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home19 Mar 2023 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.15 | −4.86 |
| M26 | Magdeburg · Away2 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −6.02 |
| M27 | Holstein Kiel · Home9 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −7.35 |
| M28 | Paderborn · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −8.19 |
| M29 | Greuther Furth · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −6.41 |
| M30 | Kaiserslautern · Away29 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −4.52 |
| M31 | Regensburg · Home6 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −3.03 |
| M32 | Sandhausen · Away12 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −1.40 |
| M33 | Nurnberg · Away21 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | −1.46 |
| M34 | Braunschweig · Home28 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +0.27 |
| Total | 41 | +0.27 | |||