Points
46Points expected by the market
45.31Gap
+0.69Yield
−9.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 9 | −4.71 | −49.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 35 | +8.81 | +33.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −3.41 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 8 | −3.98 | −42.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +1.57 | +6.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.73 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 21 | +7.24 | +56.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.35 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Greuther Furth · Away16 Jul 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.15 |
| M2 | Kaiserslautern · Home23 Jul 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.64 |
| M3 | Magdeburg · Away7 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | +1.27 |
| M4 | Braunschweig · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +2.66 |
| M5 | Paderborn · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 2-7 | 0 | −0.84 | +1.82 |
| M6 | Sandhausen · Home28 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +3.09 |
| M7 | Regensburg · Away3 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +2.69 |
| M8 | Hamburg · Home9 Sep 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.63 |
| M9 | Bielefeld · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.23 | +0.40 |
| M10 | Hansa Rostock · Home1 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −0.31 |
| M11 | Nurnberg · Away9 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.82 | +1.51 |
| M12 | Heidenheim · Home16 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +3.07 |
| M13 | Darmstadt · Away21 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | +3.15 |
| M14 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home29 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +1.71 |
| M15 | Karlsruhe · Away5 Nov 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +3.43 |
| M16 | St Pauli · Away8 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | +3.26 |
| M17 | Hannover · Home11 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | +2.54 |
| M18 | Greuther Furth · Home28 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +4.15 |
| M19 | Kaiserslautern · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | +2.90 |
| M20 | Magdeburg · Home11 Feb 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.80 | +1.10 |
| M21 | Braunschweig · Away17 Feb 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.54 | +2.64 |
| M22 | Paderborn · Home25 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +2.27 |
| M23 | Sandhausen · Away4 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +1.54 |
| M24 | Regensburg · Home12 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.79 | −0.25 |
| M25 | Hamburg · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.12 |
| M26 | Bielefeld · Home2 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.62 | −1.74 |
| M27 | Hansa Rostock · Away9 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.62 | −0.12 |
| M28 | Nurnberg · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.36 |
| M29 | Heidenheim · Away23 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.81 | +0.55 |
| M30 | Darmstadt · Home30 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −0.53 |
| M31 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away6 May 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −1.44 |
| M32 | Karlsruhe · Home13 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +0.07 |
| M33 | St Pauli · Home19 May 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.15 |
| M34 | Hannover · Away28 May 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +0.69 |
| Total | 46 | +0.69 | |||