Points
45Points expected by the market
45.59Gap
−0.59Yield
−9.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 4 | −6.48 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 32 | +4.94 | +15.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 9 | +0.95 | −6.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 4 | −6.48 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 17 | +2.94 | +18.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.98 | +266.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +2.00 | +12.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | −1.03 | −45.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hannover · Home15 Jul 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.57 |
| M2 | Holstein Kiel · Away23 Jul 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | +1.33 |
| M3 | St Pauli · Home7 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.84 |
| M4 | Paderborn · Home12 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | +1.54 |
| M5 | Greuther Furth · Away21 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +3.36 |
| M6 | Magdeburg · Home28 Aug 2022 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.90 | +2.46 |
| M7 | Sandhausen · Away4 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | +1.96 |
| M8 | Darmstadt · Home11 Sep 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.08 | +1.88 |
| M9 | Heidenheim · Away18 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | +1.81 |
| M10 | Braunschweig · Home2 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +1.10 |
| M11 | Hamburg · Away8 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | +1.28 |
| M12 | Regensburg · Home16 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.82 | −0.54 |
| M13 | Hansa Rostock · Away21 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.02 |
| M14 | Nurnberg · Home29 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | +0.43 |
| M15 | Bielefeld · Away5 Nov 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.95 |
| M16 | Karlsruhe · Home8 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +3.49 |
| M17 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away11 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +5.48 |
| M18 | Hannover · Away28 Jan 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +7.34 |
| M19 | Holstein Kiel · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +8.87 |
| M20 | St Pauli · Away12 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | +7.82 |
| M21 | Paderborn · Away17 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | +6.78 |
| M22 | Greuther Furth · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +8.26 |
| M23 | Magdeburg · Away3 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +6.82 |
| M24 | Sandhausen · Home10 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | +5.95 |
| M25 | Darmstadt · Away18 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +4.97 |
| M26 | Heidenheim · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | +4.61 |
| M27 | Braunschweig · Away8 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | +3.35 |
| M28 | Hamburg · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.98 | +5.33 |
| M29 | Regensburg · Away23 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | +5.16 |
| M30 | Hansa Rostock · Home29 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | +3.56 |
| M31 | Nurnberg · Away7 May 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.06 | +3.50 |
| M32 | Bielefeld · Home13 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | +2.08 |
| M33 | Karlsruhe · Away21 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.14 | +0.95 |
| M34 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home28 May 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.54 | −0.59 |
| Total | 45 | −0.59 | |||