Points
43Points expected by the market
41.32Gap
+1.68Yield
+8.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 4 | −3.15 | −56.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 31 | +3.21 | +18.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +1.62 | +14.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 4 | −3.15 | −56.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | +1.12 | +9.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +2.08 | +31.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +1.62 | +14.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home16 Jul 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −1.48 |
| M2 | Karlsruhe · Away24 Jul 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.57 | +0.09 |
| M3 | Holstein Kiel · Home7 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −1.58 |
| M4 | St Pauli · Away14 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −2.46 |
| M5 | Hannover · Home19 Aug 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.40 | −3.85 |
| M6 | Kaiserslautern · Away28 Aug 2022 | D 4-4 | 1 | +0.13 | −3.72 |
| M7 | Paderborn · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | −4.40 |
| M8 | Greuther Furth · Home11 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | −2.62 |
| M9 | Hansa Rostock · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −3.71 |
| M10 | Regensburg · Home2 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −2.58 |
| M11 | Sandhausen · Away9 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −3.89 |
| M12 | Braunschweig · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −5.38 |
| M13 | Hamburg · Away23 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.25 | −3.13 |
| M14 | Heidenheim · Home28 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −3.40 |
| M15 | Nurnberg · Away6 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | −1.50 |
| M16 | Darmstadt · Home10 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.62 |
| M17 | Bielefeld · Away13 Nov 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −3.93 |
| M18 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away27 Jan 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −4.77 |
| M19 | Karlsruhe · Home5 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −5.10 |
| M20 | Holstein Kiel · Away11 Feb 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.05 | −3.05 |
| M21 | St Pauli · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −4.16 |
| M22 | Hannover · Away26 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | −2.26 |
| M23 | Kaiserslautern · Home3 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −0.55 |
| M24 | Paderborn · Home11 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.89 |
| M25 | Greuther Furth · Away18 Mar 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.97 |
| M26 | Hansa Rostock · Home2 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.53 |
| M27 | Regensburg · Away9 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.72 |
| M28 | Sandhausen · Home15 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.07 | −2.78 |
| M29 | Braunschweig · Away22 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | −1.09 |
| M30 | Hamburg · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.83 | +0.74 |
| M31 | Heidenheim · Away7 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.94 |
| M32 | Nurnberg · Home12 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.55 | +0.39 |
| M33 | Darmstadt · Away19 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −0.21 |
| M34 | Bielefeld · Home28 May 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +1.68 |
| Total | 43 | +1.68 | |||