Points
39Points expected by the market
44.13Gap
−5.13Yield
−18.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 9 | −4.32 | −50.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 23 | −1.22 | −15.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +0.42 | +11.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 9 | −4.32 | −50.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 16 | +4.39 | +48.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 7 | −5.61 | −72.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +0.42 | +11.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | St Pauli · Away16 Jul 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.33 |
| M2 | Greuther Furth · Home23 Jul 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +0.36 |
| M3 | Regensburg · Away6 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | 0.00 |
| M4 | Heidenheim · Home12 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.72 | −1.72 |
| M5 | Sandhausen · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −0.04 |
| M6 | Hamburg · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −1.19 |
| M7 | Braunschweig · Away2 Sep 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.43 | −2.62 |
| M8 | Bielefeld · Home9 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −1.14 |
| M9 | Darmstadt · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −1.99 |
| M10 | Karlsruhe · Away2 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −3.15 |
| M11 | Holstein Kiel · Home9 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.56 | −4.71 |
| M12 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away15 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | −2.65 |
| M13 | Hannover · Home22 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | −3.34 |
| M14 | Kaiserslautern · Away29 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −3.48 |
| M15 | Magdeburg · Home6 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −5.11 |
| M16 | Hansa Rostock · Away9 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −5.34 |
| M17 | Paderborn · Home13 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −3.62 |
| M18 | St Pauli · Home29 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −4.91 |
| M19 | Greuther Furth · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −5.98 |
| M20 | Regensburg · Home11 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −4.62 |
| M21 | Heidenheim · Away19 Feb 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.94 | −5.56 |
| M22 | Sandhausen · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | −4.36 |
| M23 | Hamburg · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −5.05 |
| M24 | Braunschweig · Home10 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −3.57 |
| M25 | Bielefeld · Away17 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | −3.65 |
| M26 | Darmstadt · Home31 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −4.83 |
| M27 | Karlsruhe · Home8 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −5.03 |
| M28 | Holstein Kiel · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −6.24 |
| M29 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −4.40 |
| M30 | Hannover · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −5.64 |
| M31 | Kaiserslautern · Home7 May 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.65 | −6.29 |
| M32 | Magdeburg · Away12 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −6.48 |
| M33 | Hansa Rostock · Home21 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | −7.13 |
| M34 | Paderborn · Away28 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.00 | −5.13 |
| Total | 39 | −5.13 | |||