Points
31Points expected by the market
37.93Gap
−6.93Yield
−19.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.32 | +103.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 19 | −5.43 | −31.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 9 | −2.83 | −11.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.32 | +103.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 13 | −5.43 | −53.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.31 | +100.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | +0.01 | +31.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 6 | −4.13 | −30.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Darmstadt · Home16 Jul 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +1.89 |
| M2 | Bielefeld · Away24 Jul 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +3.77 |
| M3 | Nurnberg · Home6 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | +3.40 |
| M4 | Hannover · Away14 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | +2.30 |
| M5 | Karlsruhe · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 0-6 | 0 | −1.52 | +0.78 |
| M6 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away26 Aug 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.83 | −0.05 |
| M7 | Holstein Kiel · Home3 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.37 |
| M8 | Paderborn · Away10 Sep 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.73 | −1.10 |
| M9 | St Pauli · Home18 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +0.94 |
| M10 | Magdeburg · Away2 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.05 |
| M11 | Greuther Furth · Home7 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.15 |
| M12 | Kaiserslautern · Away16 Oct 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +1.94 |
| M13 | Sandhausen · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +3.26 |
| M14 | Hansa Rostock · Home29 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.49 | +1.76 |
| M15 | Hamburg · Away6 Nov 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.62 | +1.14 |
| M16 | Braunschweig · Home9 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | +0.78 |
| M17 | Heidenheim · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 4-5 | 0 | −0.90 | −0.12 |
| M18 | Darmstadt · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.83 |
| M19 | Bielefeld · Home4 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −2.23 |
| M20 | Nurnberg · Away11 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −3.31 |
| M21 | Hannover · Home18 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −3.57 |
| M22 | Karlsruhe · Away24 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −4.47 |
| M23 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home4 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −5.59 |
| M24 | Holstein Kiel · Away12 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | −3.55 |
| M25 | Paderborn · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −1.70 |
| M26 | St Pauli · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.37 |
| M27 | Magdeburg · Home9 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | −2.90 |
| M28 | Greuther Furth · Away14 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −3.83 |
| M29 | Kaiserslautern · Home23 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −4.37 |
| M30 | Sandhausen · Away30 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −5.79 |
| M31 | Hansa Rostock · Away6 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −6.98 |
| M32 | Hamburg · Home14 May 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.06 | −8.04 |
| M33 | Braunschweig · Away20 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | −6.19 |
| M34 | Heidenheim · Home28 May 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −6.93 |
| Total | 31 | −6.93 | |||