Points
28Points expected by the market
34.29Gap
−6.29Yield
−27.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −1.15 | −5.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 14 | −5.13 | −39.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | +0.12 | +2.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −3.32 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.27 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 12 | −1.81 | −17.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bielefeld · Home16 Jul 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.69 |
| M2 | Darmstadt · Away22 Jul 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | +0.76 |
| M3 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home5 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +2.58 |
| M4 | Karlsruhe · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.27 | +1.30 |
| M5 | Nurnberg · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −0.09 |
| M6 | Holstein Kiel · Away28 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −1.11 |
| M7 | Kaiserslautern · Home4 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | −1.32 |
| M8 | St Pauli · Away11 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | −1.13 |
| M9 | Hannover · Home16 Sep 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −2.35 |
| M10 | Greuther Furth · Away1 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −2.33 |
| M11 | Magdeburg · Home9 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −0.75 |
| M12 | Paderborn · Away16 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.60 | −1.35 |
| M13 | Regensburg · Away22 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.39 |
| M14 | Braunschweig · Home30 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −2.59 |
| M15 | Hansa Rostock · Away4 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | −0.58 |
| M16 | Heidenheim · Home9 Nov 2022 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.76 |
| M17 | Hamburg · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.70 | −2.45 |
| M18 | Bielefeld · Away29 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | −0.55 |
| M19 | Darmstadt · Home3 Feb 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.62 |
| M20 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away12 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −2.39 |
| M21 | Karlsruhe · Home19 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −3.54 |
| M22 | Nurnberg · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −4.46 |
| M23 | Holstein Kiel · Home4 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −4.47 |
| M24 | Kaiserslautern · Away10 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.13 | −4.34 |
| M25 | St Pauli · Home19 Mar 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.97 | −5.31 |
| M26 | Hannover · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −6.21 |
| M27 | Greuther Furth · Home9 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −7.18 |
| M28 | Magdeburg · Away15 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.29 | −4.90 |
| M29 | Paderborn · Home23 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.20 | −4.69 |
| M30 | Regensburg · Home30 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | −2.97 |
| M31 | Braunschweig · Away7 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −3.94 |
| M32 | Hansa Rostock · Home12 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −5.28 |
| M33 | Heidenheim · Away20 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.50 | −5.78 |
| M34 | Hamburg · Home28 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.51 | −6.29 |
| Total | 28 | −6.29 | |||