Points
43Points expected by the market
44.06Gap
−1.06Yield
+11.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −1.87 | −15.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 23 | −2.91 | −17.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 10 | +3.73 | +119.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −1.87 | −15.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −3.25 | −49.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.99 | +265.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | +0.34 | +8.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 7 | +1.74 | +95.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hannover · Away29 Jul 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.09 |
| M2 | Hansa Rostock · Home5 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.66 | −1.75 |
| M3 | Kaiserslautern · Away18 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −2.94 |
| M4 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.30 | −4.23 |
| M5 | Osnabruck · Away3 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −2.49 |
| M6 | Hamburg · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | −0.50 |
| M7 | Wehen · Away23 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +1.14 |
| M8 | Greuther Furth · Home1 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.69 |
| M9 | Holstein Kiel · Away8 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.52 |
| M10 | Braunschweig · Home20 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +1.69 |
| M11 | Magdeburg · Away29 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +3.56 |
| M12 | St Pauli · Home3 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +2.41 |
| M13 | Schalke 04 · Away10 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +4.33 |
| M14 | Paderborn · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +5.85 |
| M15 | Hertha · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.05 | +4.80 |
| M16 | Nurnberg · Home10 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.79 | +3.02 |
| M17 | Karlsruhe · Away17 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.26 | +1.76 |
| M18 | Hannover · Home20 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | +1.09 |
| M19 | Hansa Rostock · Away27 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −0.45 |
| M20 | Kaiserslautern · Home4 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +1.02 |
| M21 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away10 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | +1.05 |
| M22 | Osnabruck · Home18 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +2.35 |
| M23 | Hamburg · Away25 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | +1.61 |
| M24 | Wehen · Home3 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.69 | −0.08 |
| M25 | Greuther Furth · Away10 Mar 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.06 | +1.97 |
| M26 | Holstein Kiel · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +0.76 |
| M27 | Braunschweig · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.20 | −0.44 |
| M28 | Magdeburg · Home6 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.98 |
| M29 | St Pauli · Away14 Apr 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.44 | +1.46 |
| M30 | Schalke 04 · Home19 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | +1.12 |
| M31 | Paderborn · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.01 | +0.11 |
| M32 | Hertha · Home5 May 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.46 | +1.57 |
| M33 | Nurnberg · Away11 May 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.37 | +0.19 |
| M34 | Karlsruhe · Home19 May 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.06 |
| Total | 43 | −1.06 | |||