Points
63Points expected by the market
54.35Gap
+8.65Yield
+7.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.52 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 30 | +3.06 | +12.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 26 | +4.09 | +5.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.52 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 21 | −0.84 | −8.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.88 | +60.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.90 | +95.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 20 | +2.21 | −7.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.03 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hertha · Home29 Jul 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.39 |
| M2 | St Pauli · Away5 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | +1.36 |
| M3 | Paderborn · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −0.32 |
| M4 | Elversberg · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +1.23 |
| M5 | Karlsruhe · Home1 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +2.76 |
| M6 | Hansa Rostock · Away16 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +4.21 |
| M7 | Hannover · Home24 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +3.50 |
| M8 | Hamburg · Away29 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | +2.42 |
| M9 | Osnabruck · Home6 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | +1.41 |
| M10 | Kaiserslautern · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.26 | +2.67 |
| M11 | Braunschweig · Away27 Oct 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +3.92 |
| M12 | Wehen · Home3 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.06 | +1.85 |
| M13 | Greuther Furth · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.65 |
| M14 | Schalke 04 · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.35 | +2.00 |
| M15 | Nurnberg · Away2 Dec 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +3.59 |
| M16 | Holstein Kiel · Home10 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.79 | +1.80 |
| M17 | Magdeburg · Away16 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.62 | +3.42 |
| M18 | Hertha · Away21 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | +2.99 |
| M19 | St Pauli · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.75 |
| M20 | Paderborn · Away4 Feb 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.35 | +0.40 |
| M21 | Elversberg · Home10 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −0.38 |
| M22 | Karlsruhe · Away17 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.82 |
| M23 | Hansa Rostock · Home25 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.80 | −0.02 |
| M24 | Hannover · Away2 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.29 |
| M25 | Hamburg · Home8 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.30 |
| M26 | Osnabruck · Away15 Mar 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +2.66 |
| M27 | Kaiserslautern · Away30 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +4.20 |
| M28 | Braunschweig · Home7 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +5.27 |
| M29 | Wehen · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +6.56 |
| M30 | Greuther Furth · Home20 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +7.47 |
| M31 | Schalke 04 · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +7.04 |
| M32 | Nurnberg · Home3 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.73 | +7.77 |
| M33 | Holstein Kiel · Away11 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +7.41 |
| M34 | Magdeburg · Home19 May 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.23 | +8.65 |
| Total | 63 | +8.65 | |||