Points
50Points expected by the market
47.85Gap
+2.15Yield
−5.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 22 | +2.52 | +16.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 25 | +0.02 | −17.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.38 | −12.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 19 | +1.12 | +7.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 15 | +5.27 | +40.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.39 | +112.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 10 | −5.26 | −50.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.38 | −12.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Paderborn · Home30 Jul 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.60 |
| M2 | Holstein Kiel · Away5 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | +0.17 |
| M3 | St Pauli · Home19 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.26 |
| M4 | Hertha · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.52 |
| M5 | Hannover · Home3 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.70 | −3.22 |
| M6 | Nurnberg · Away15 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −3.57 |
| M7 | Karlsruhe · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.52 | −2.04 |
| M8 | Elversberg · Away1 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −2.34 |
| M9 | Hansa Rostock · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −1.20 |
| M10 | Hamburg · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −2.05 |
| M11 | Osnabruck · Home27 Oct 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −0.98 |
| M12 | Kaiserslautern · Away4 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +0.83 |
| M13 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home12 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +2.30 |
| M14 | Wehen · Home26 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +3.45 |
| M15 | Braunschweig · Away2 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +4.84 |
| M16 | Magdeburg · Home9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | +4.16 |
| M17 | Schalke 04 · Away15 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | +4.01 |
| M18 | Paderborn · Away21 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +5.76 |
| M19 | Holstein Kiel · Home28 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +7.07 |
| M20 | St Pauli · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.77 | +6.30 |
| M21 | Hertha · Home11 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.65 | +4.65 |
| M22 | Hannover · Away16 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +3.48 |
| M23 | Nurnberg · Home25 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +4.50 |
| M24 | Karlsruhe · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.18 | +3.32 |
| M25 | Elversberg · Home10 Mar 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.82 | +1.51 |
| M26 | Hansa Rostock · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | +0.02 |
| M27 | Hamburg · Home31 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.16 |
| M28 | Osnabruck · Away7 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −1.55 |
| M29 | Kaiserslautern · Home12 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.16 |
| M30 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | −0.53 |
| M31 | Wehen · Away28 Apr 2024 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.94 | +1.41 |
| M32 | Braunschweig · Home4 May 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.98 |
| M33 | Magdeburg · Away10 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.86 |
| M34 | Schalke 04 · Home19 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +2.15 |
| Total | 50 | +2.15 | |||