Points
58Points expected by the market
60.02Gap
−2.02Yield
−8.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 12 | +0.90 | +10.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 31 | −6.93 | −22.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 14 | +3.97 | +33.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 12 | +0.90 | +10.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | +0.60 | +12.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.56 | +138.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 10 | −7.53 | −60.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +2.41 | +16.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.03 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Schalke 04 · Home28 Jul 2023 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.56 |
| M2 | Karlsruhe · Away6 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | +1.20 |
| M3 | Hertha · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +2.32 |
| M4 | Hannover · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +3.66 |
| M5 | Hansa Rostock · Home3 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +4.53 |
| M6 | Elversberg · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | +2.76 |
| M7 | Osnabruck · Away22 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.96 | +0.80 |
| M8 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home29 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +2.12 |
| M9 | Wehen · Away7 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | +1.26 |
| M10 | Greuther Furth · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +2.33 |
| M11 | Kaiserslautern · Away28 Oct 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.46 | +1.87 |
| M12 | Magdeburg · Home4 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +2.87 |
| M13 | Holstein Kiel · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.65 | +1.22 |
| M14 | Braunschweig · Home24 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.70 | +1.92 |
| M15 | St Pauli · Away1 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | +1.95 |
| M16 | Paderborn · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.93 | +0.02 |
| M17 | Nurnberg · Away16 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +1.34 |
| M18 | Schalke 04 · Away20 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.92 |
| M19 | Karlsruhe · Home28 Jan 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −2.04 | +0.88 |
| M20 | Hertha · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +2.41 |
| M21 | Hannover · Home9 Feb 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.89 | +0.52 |
| M22 | Hansa Rostock · Away17 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.99 | −0.47 |
| M23 | Elversberg · Home25 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +0.46 |
| M24 | Osnabruck · Home3 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.17 | −1.71 |
| M25 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away8 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −3.04 |
| M26 | Wehen · Home17 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.90 | −2.14 |
| M27 | Greuther Furth · Away31 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −2.71 |
| M28 | Kaiserslautern · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −1.52 |
| M29 | Magdeburg · Away14 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | −2.14 |
| M30 | Holstein Kiel · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | −3.74 |
| M31 | Braunschweig · Away27 Apr 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −2.27 |
| M32 | St Pauli · Home3 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −0.85 |
| M33 | Paderborn · Away10 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | −2.62 |
| M34 | Nurnberg · Home19 May 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.60 | −2.02 |
| Total | 58 | −2.02 | |||