Points
52Points expected by the market
48.97Gap
+3.03Yield
−8.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 26 | +2.01 | −5.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 14 | −4.02 | −40.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 9 | +4.16 | +57.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 26 | +3.62 | +2.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.78 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.61 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −1.24 | −24.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 9 | +4.16 | +57.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Elversberg · Home29 Jul 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.66 | −0.66 |
| M2 | Nurnberg · Away6 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.91 |
| M3 | Hansa Rostock · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.80 |
| M4 | Hamburg · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −0.30 |
| M5 | Greuther Furth · Away3 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +1.66 |
| M6 | Osnabruck · Home17 Sep 2023 | W 7-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +2.87 |
| M7 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away24 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +2.83 |
| M8 | Wehen · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +3.93 |
| M9 | Kaiserslautern · Away6 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | +2.73 |
| M10 | Magdeburg · Home20 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +4.16 |
| M11 | Schalke 04 · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.27 | +2.89 |
| M12 | Braunschweig · Home5 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +3.80 |
| M13 | St Pauli · Away10 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | +3.99 |
| M14 | Hertha · Home24 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | +3.41 |
| M15 | Paderborn · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | +2.00 |
| M16 | Karlsruhe · Home8 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | +1.38 |
| M17 | Holstein Kiel · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.18 |
| M18 | Elversberg · Away20 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.11 |
| M19 | Nurnberg · Home26 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +1.33 |
| M20 | Hansa Rostock · Home4 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +2.21 |
| M21 | Hamburg · Away9 Feb 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.12 | +4.32 |
| M22 | Greuther Furth · Home16 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +5.76 |
| M23 | Osnabruck · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | +4.14 |
| M24 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | +3.69 |
| M25 | Wehen · Away9 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +3.14 |
| M26 | Kaiserslautern · Home16 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | +2.39 |
| M27 | Magdeburg · Away31 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +4.02 |
| M28 | Schalke 04 · Home7 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +3.24 |
| M29 | Braunschweig · Away14 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | +2.94 |
| M30 | St Pauli · Home21 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +1.72 |
| M31 | Hertha · Away26 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +1.50 |
| M32 | Paderborn · Home5 May 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.36 | +2.86 |
| M33 | Karlsruhe · Away12 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +4.66 |
| M34 | Holstein Kiel · Home19 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | +3.03 |
| Total | 52 | +3.03 | |||