Points
68Points expected by the market
48.38Gap
+19.62Yield
+60.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.65 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −0.43 | +1.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 43 | +16.40 | +79.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.01 | +93.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.65 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 7 | −3.16 | −33.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 16 | +3.49 | +42.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.72 | +104.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 27 | +12.91 | +108.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.01 | +93.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Braunschweig · Away30 Jul 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.70 |
| M2 | Greuther Furth · Home5 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +3.39 |
| M3 | Magdeburg · Home20 Aug 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.47 | +1.92 |
| M4 | Schalke 04 · Away25 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +3.81 |
| M5 | Paderborn · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +5.28 |
| M6 | St Pauli · Away17 Sep 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.99 | +4.29 |
| M7 | Hertha · Home24 Sep 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.51 | +2.77 |
| M8 | Karlsruhe · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +4.80 |
| M9 | Elversberg · Home8 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | +4.22 |
| M10 | Hansa Rostock · Away22 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +5.89 |
| M11 | Nurnberg · Home29 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.55 | +4.34 |
| M12 | Osnabruck · Away4 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +3.91 |
| M13 | Hamburg · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.89 | +5.80 |
| M14 | Kaiserslautern · Away26 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +7.57 |
| M15 | Wehen · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.21 | +8.78 |
| M16 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away10 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +10.81 |
| M17 | Hannover · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +12.28 |
| M18 | Braunschweig · Home19 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.85 | +10.42 |
| M19 | Greuther Furth · Away28 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +9.37 |
| M20 | Magdeburg · Away2 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +9.09 |
| M21 | Schalke 04 · Home11 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +10.69 |
| M22 | Paderborn · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +12.43 |
| M23 | St Pauli · Home23 Feb 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.26 | +11.17 |
| M24 | Hertha · Away1 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | +10.82 |
| M25 | Karlsruhe · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +12.26 |
| M26 | Elversberg · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +13.73 |
| M27 | Hansa Rostock · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +14.59 |
| M28 | Nurnberg · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +15.96 |
| M29 | Osnabruck · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +16.76 |
| M30 | Hamburg · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +18.60 |
| M31 | Kaiserslautern · Home27 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.81 | +16.79 |
| M32 | Wehen · Away5 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +18.13 |
| M33 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home11 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +17.75 |
| M34 | Hannover · Away19 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +19.62 |
| Total | 68 | +19.62 | |||