Points
39Points expected by the market
46.33Gap
−7.33Yield
−22.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 19 | +3.73 | +31.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 15 | −8.44 | −38.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.62 | −50.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 19 | +3.73 | +31.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −4.25 | −39.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −4.19 | −37.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.62 | −50.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | St Pauli · Home29 Jul 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.23 |
| M2 | Schalke 04 · Away5 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.97 | −2.20 |
| M3 | Elversberg · Home18 Aug 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.75 |
| M4 | Paderborn · Away25 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +1.10 |
| M5 | Nurnberg · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.48 |
| M6 | Karlsruhe · Away16 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | +2.42 |
| M7 | Hansa Rostock · Home24 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.77 |
| M8 | Osnabruck · Away1 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | +3.39 |
| M9 | Hannover · Home6 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +4.86 |
| M10 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.01 | +3.85 |
| M11 | Hamburg · Home28 Oct 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.29 | +3.56 |
| M12 | Greuther Furth · Home4 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.55 | +2.02 |
| M13 | Wehen · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.63 |
| M14 | Holstein Kiel · Home26 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −0.89 |
| M15 | Magdeburg · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.06 | −1.95 |
| M16 | Hertha · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −3.55 |
| M17 | Braunschweig · Away17 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −4.97 |
| M18 | St Pauli · Away20 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −5.62 |
| M19 | Schalke 04 · Home26 Jan 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −3.96 |
| M20 | Elversberg · Away4 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −5.17 |
| M21 | Paderborn · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −6.69 |
| M22 | Nurnberg · Away18 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −7.12 |
| M23 | Karlsruhe · Home24 Feb 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.57 | −8.69 |
| M24 | Hansa Rostock · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −7.13 |
| M25 | Osnabruck · Home10 Mar 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.07 | −6.06 |
| M26 | Hannover · Away16 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −6.05 |
| M27 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home30 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −7.32 |
| M28 | Hamburg · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −8.26 |
| M29 | Greuther Furth · Away12 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −9.72 |
| M30 | Wehen · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −10.58 |
| M31 | Holstein Kiel · Away27 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.05 | −8.52 |
| M32 | Magdeburg · Home4 May 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −7.19 |
| M33 | Hertha · Away11 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −8.51 |
| M34 | Braunschweig · Home19 May 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.18 | −7.33 |
| Total | 39 | −7.33 | |||