Points
38Points expected by the market
46.87Gap
−8.87Yield
−37.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 18 | −1.22 | −12.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 15 | −7.85 | −56.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +0.20 | −20.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −2.60 | −25.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −2.07 | −55.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.03 | +298.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.39 | +108.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 9 | −5.78 | −56.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.84 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wehen · Away29 Jul 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.52 |
| M2 | Braunschweig · Home6 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +0.61 |
| M3 | Holstein Kiel · Away20 Aug 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.72 | +2.33 |
| M4 | St Pauli · Away27 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | +2.36 |
| M5 | Hertha · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 6-4 | 3 | +1.69 | +4.05 |
| M6 | Schalke 04 · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.12 | +2.93 |
| M7 | Paderborn · Home22 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | +2.36 |
| M8 | Nurnberg · Away1 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +1.16 |
| M9 | Karlsruhe · Home7 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.73 |
| M10 | Hannover · Away20 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −0.45 |
| M11 | Elversberg · Home29 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.62 | −2.06 |
| M12 | Hamburg · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −2.87 |
| M13 | Hansa Rostock · Home12 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.85 | −4.73 |
| M14 | Osnabruck · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −3.34 |
| M15 | Kaiserslautern · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −2.03 |
| M16 | Greuther Furth · Away9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −2.09 |
| M17 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −3.45 |
| M18 | Wehen · Home21 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | −2.39 |
| M19 | Braunschweig · Away28 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −3.67 |
| M20 | Holstein Kiel · Home2 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −4.13 |
| M21 | St Pauli · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | −2.10 |
| M22 | Hertha · Away16 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −3.37 |
| M23 | Schalke 04 · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −1.94 |
| M24 | Paderborn · Away3 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −2.07 |
| M25 | Nurnberg · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.87 | −3.94 |
| M26 | Karlsruhe · Away17 Mar 2024 | L 0-7 | 0 | −1.10 | −5.04 |
| M27 | Hannover · Home31 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −6.40 |
| M28 | Elversberg · Away6 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −6.60 |
| M29 | Hamburg · Home14 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −6.74 |
| M30 | Hansa Rostock · Away21 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −5.17 |
| M31 | Osnabruck · Home28 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.00 | −6.16 |
| M32 | Kaiserslautern · Away4 May 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.08 | −7.24 |
| M33 | Greuther Furth · Home10 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −7.86 |
| M34 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away19 May 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −8.87 |
| Total | 38 | −8.87 | |||