Points
40Points expected by the market
39.71Gap
+0.29Yield
−8.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.74 | +21.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 22 | −0.54 | −6.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | −0.90 | −26.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.74 | +21.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 12 | −2.10 | −29.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.88 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +1.55 | +30.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 8 | −0.02 | −18.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hansa Rostock · Away30 Jul 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.22 |
| M2 | Hannover · Home6 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | −1.69 |
| M3 | Osnabruck · Away20 Aug 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.81 | +0.13 |
| M4 | Wehen · Home27 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +1.44 |
| M5 | Kaiserslautern · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.34 |
| M6 | Greuther Furth · Home15 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.05 |
| M7 | Braunschweig · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.44 |
| M8 | Magdeburg · Home1 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +1.01 |
| M9 | St Pauli · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.72 | +0.29 |
| M10 | Hertha · Home22 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +1.88 |
| M11 | Holstein Kiel · Away29 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +3.69 |
| M12 | Schalke 04 · Home4 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | +2.09 |
| M13 | Paderborn · Away11 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +3.90 |
| M14 | Karlsruhe · Away26 Nov 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.15 | +2.74 |
| M15 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home2 Dec 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.33 | +1.41 |
| M16 | Elversberg · Away10 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | +3.44 |
| M17 | Hamburg · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | +2.35 |
| M18 | Hansa Rostock · Home20 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +3.61 |
| M19 | Hannover · Away26 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.96 | +2.65 |
| M20 | Osnabruck · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | +1.97 |
| M21 | Wehen · Away9 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | +1.95 |
| M22 | Kaiserslautern · Home18 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +1.65 |
| M23 | Greuther Furth · Away25 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +0.86 |
| M24 | Braunschweig · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +2.57 |
| M25 | Magdeburg · Away9 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.10 | +4.66 |
| M26 | St Pauli · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.88 | +3.78 |
| M27 | Hertha · Away30 Mar 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.14 | +3.92 |
| M28 | Holstein Kiel · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.12 | +2.81 |
| M29 | Schalke 04 · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +2.00 |
| M30 | Paderborn · Home19 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +0.78 |
| M31 | Karlsruhe · Home28 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −0.33 |
| M32 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away3 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.55 | −0.87 |
| M33 | Elversberg · Home11 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.75 |
| M34 | Hamburg · Away19 May 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.46 | +0.29 |
| Total | 40 | +0.29 | |||